The byes are behind us for 2019. It’s truely amazing how quickly this season is flying by.
Consistent with the previous rounds that have followed directly after an Origin game these teams are to be taken with a grain of salt as it is likely that we will see plenty of changes over the coming days. At least we already know that James Tedesco will be missing. However, any late outs will somewhat be offset by the likely return of Andrew Fifita, Siosiua Taukeiaho, Sam Burgess and Anthony Milford.
This week’s tune is dedicated to the byes, Good Riddance to them.
PANTHERS V TITANS, 6PM, PANTHERS STADIUM
Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Josh Mansour 3. Dean Whare 4. Brent Naden 5. Brian To’o 6. Jarome Luai 7. James Maloney 8. James Tamou 9. Mitch Kenny 10. James Fisher-Harris 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Isaah Yeo 13. Liam Martin
Interchange: 14. Wayde Egan 15. Frank Winterstein 16. Moses Leota 17. Reagan Campbell-Gillard
Reserves: 18. Kaide Ellis 19. Jed Cartwright 20. Hame Sele 21. Nathan Cleary
The Ins & Outs
- Hame Sele
- Jed Cartwright
- Kaide Ellis
- Nathan Cleary
Nathan Cleary has been named in the reserves and could be a late in but early reports are not great. Dean Whare moves into the centres allowing Isaah Yeo to revert to the back row and Frank Winterstein goes to the bench.
Viliame Kikau is flying lately with scores of 111, 70 and 70. He’s scored three tries over this period and there may be plenty of other attacking statistics but he’s arguably just warming up and could reach boiling point this weekend against the Titans.
At just 2% ownership and priced still under $500k, Josh Mansour could be a terrific POD for the run home with a 5RA of 59. He has scored just the one try this season with the majority of his points coming from base. With the run home that the Panthers have (starting this week), don’t sleep on Mansour.
I’ll be playing Brian To’o this weekend with a favourable match-up against the Titans. To’o is also a definite contender to be a season-long hold given that he is averaging 44 in total base since making his debut in round 10.
Titans: 1. Alexander Brimson 2. Anthony Don 3. Dale Copley 4. Brian Kelly 5. Phillip Sami 6. Tyrone Roberts 7. Ryley Jacks 8. Jack Stockwell 9. Nathan Peats 10. Moeaki Fotuaika 11. Kevin Proctor 12. Bryce Cartwright 13. Jarrod Wallace
Interchange: 14. Mitch Rein 15. Shannon Boyd 16. Jai Whitbread 17.
Reserves: Tyrone Peachey 18. Will Matthews 19. Leilani Latu 20. Brenko Lee 21. Jesse Arthars
The Ins & Outs
- Brenko Lee
- Dale Copley
- Leilani Latu
- Sam Stone
Dale Copley takes Jesse Arthars’ place in the centres, while Jarrod Wallace shifts to lock and Jack Stockwell has been elevated to the starting line-up. Jai Whitbread and Will Matthews have both dropped back to the bench. Tyrone Peachey has been named in the reserves.
The Titans have one player that has averaged over 60 PPG this year and he is currently injured. However, Brian Kelly has a 5RA of 74 PPG and is owned by just 2% of all SuperCoaches. Another POD CTW to consider for the run home.
KNIGHTS V BULLDOGS, 7.55PM, McDONALD JONES STADIUM
Knights: 1. Connor Watson 2. Hymel Hunt 3. Kurt Mann 4. Jesse Ramien 5. Shaun Kenny-Dowall 6. Mason Lino 7. Mitchell Pearce 8. James Gavet 9. Danny Levi 10. Josh King 11. Jamie Buhrer 12. Sione Mata’utia 13. Herman Ese’ese
Interchange: 14. Jacob Saifiti 15. Pasami Saulo 16. Phoenix Crossland 17. Aidan Guerra
Reserves: 18. Tautau Moga 19. David Klemmer 20. Daniel Saifiti 21. Tim Glasby 22. Brodie Jones 23. Chris Randall
The Ins & Outs
- Brodie Jones
- Chris Randall
- Daniel Saifiti
- David Klemmer
- Mitchell Pearce
- Tautau Moga
- Tim Glasby
- Lachlan Fitzgibbon
David Klemmer, Daniel Saifiti and Tim Glasby have all been named in the reserves, while Mitchell Pearce has been named to start alongside Mason Lino. As expected, there is no Kalyn Ponga. Lachlan Fitzgibbon is out with an elbow injury and will be missing for the next month or so, he is replaced by Sione Mata’utia and Kurt Mann shifts to centre.
Klemmer has had a breakout SuperCoach season in 2019 with his season average rising to a career best of 66 PPG thanks largely to an increase in minutes of almost 10 per game. With a BE of 72 and the likelihood of reduced minutes this Friday night (if he plays), he is one to target from round 18.
With ownership now under 10% and the possibility of his first Origin series win under his belt, Mitchell Pearce is an option at halfback. With a BE of 100 this week thanks to a couple of poor consecutive scores, he is another player to monitor over the coming weeks but then again he is playing the Bulldogs this round. He scored 76 against them in round 9 this year.
Bulldogs: 1. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 2. Nick Meaney 3. Marcelo Montoya 4. Will Hopoate 5. Reimis Smith 6. Brandon Wakeham 7. Jack Cogger 8. Aiden Tolman 9. Michael Lichaa 10. Dylan Napa 11. Josh Jackson 12. Corey Harawira-Naera 13. Chris Smith
Interchange: 14. Adam Elliott 15. Renouf To’omaga 16. Ofahiki Ogden 17. Sauaso Sue
Reserves: 18. Jeremy Marshall-King 19. Fa’amanu Brown 20. Kerrod Holland 21. Danny Fualalo
The Ins & Outs
- Danny Fualalo
- Fa’amanu Brown
- Jeremy Marshall-King
- Kerrod Holland
- Renouf Toomaga
- Kieran Foran
Kieran Foran is out with a hamstring injury for the next two weeks and this paves the way for Brandon Wakeham to come into the starting side. Renouf Toomaga comes onto the bench for his first game of 2019.
Pass. Only relevant from here out as a key match-up for opposition CTW’s.
RABBITOHS V SEA EAGLES, 3PM, ANZ STADIUM
Rabbitohs: 1. Adam Doueihi 2. Dane Gagai 3. James Roberts 4. Braidon Burns 5. Campbell Graham 6. Cody Walker 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Tevita Tatola 9. Damien Cook 10. Liam Knight 11. John Sutton 12. Sam Burgess 13. Cameron Murray
Interchange: 14. Ethan Lowe 15. Mark Nicholls 16. Dean Britt 17. Kyle Turner
Reserves: 18. Jaydn Su’a 19. Connor Tracey 20. Tom Amone 21. Corey Allan 22. Billy Brittain 23. Bayley Sironen
The Ins & Outs
- Adam Doueihi
- Bayley Sironen
- Billy Brittain
- Connor Tracey
- Jaydn Su’A
- Sam Burgess
- Tom Amone
- George Burgess
Sam Burgess is back after having a shoulder surgery that saw him miss the last five weeks. This sees Ethan Lowe drop to the bench after making his debut for Queensland in Game 3. Junior Tatola replaces the suspended George Burgess in the other change to the forward pack. Adam Doueihi has been named at fullback as Alex Johnston continues to be troubled by a knee injury, while former Bronco Jaydn Su’A is listed among the reserves as is Billy Brittian and he could come into the starting side with rumours afloat that Damien Cook will be rested following a massive six weeks or so.
Braidon Burns has picked up right where he left off with a 70 point performance against the Tigers in round 15 after 11 weeks on the sidelines due to injury. Ignoring his injury impacted game in round 3, he has an average of 73 this year and with games to come against the Cowboys, Bulldogs, Broncos and the Dragons it’s not the worst run home for a South’s CTW. At just $360k, yes, please.
With a BE of 95 this round there is every chance that Cody Walker could be available for less than $500k soon. Let’s not forget that at one stage this year he was priced over $750k. Keep a close eye on him going forward.
With scores of 34, 56 (with a try) and 43 during the Origin period you can’t play Cameron Murray in your 17 this week. Big call I know but one that I’ll be making.
Sea Eagles: 1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Jorge Taufua 3. Dylan Walker 4. Moses Suli 5. Reuben Garrick 6. Cade Cust 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Manase Fainu 10. Martin Taupau 11. Joel Thompson 12. Curtis Sironen 13. Jake Trbojevic
Interchange: 14. Brendan Elliot 15. Corey Waddell 16. Morgan Boyle 17. Taniela Paseka
Reserves: 18. Lachlan Croker 19. Kane Elgey 20. Brad Parker 21. Haumole Olakauatu 22. Lloyd Perrett
The Ins & Outs
- Brad Parker
- Haumole Olakau’atu
- Kane Elgey
- Lachlan Croker
- Lloyd Perrett
There are no changes to the 17 but one of their Origin starts in Tom Trbojevic, Jake Trbojevic and Daly Cherry-Evans could be rested. None have missed a game yet so now may be the time.
If Tom Trbojevic is playing then with a BE of 43 he should be one of your trades this weekend before he gets out of reach, if he isn’t already. Jake Trbojeivic has a BE of over 100 and will likely see reduced minutes this round, so save that trade for next week or the week after where he could be priced under $500k.
BRONCOS V WARRIORS, 5.30PM, SUNCORP STADIUM
Broncos: 1. Anthony Milford 2. Corey Oates 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Xavier Coates 6. Darius Boyd 7. Jake Turpin 8. Matthew Lodge 9. Andrew McCullough 10. Payne Haas 11. Alex Glenn 12. Tevita Pangai 13. Thomas Flegler
Interchange: 14. James Segeyaro 15. Joe Ofahengaue 16. David Fifita 17. Patty Carrigan
Reserves: 18. Keenan Palasia 19. Rhys Kennedy 20. Cory Paix 21. Jamayne Isaako 22. Izaia Perese
The Ins & Outs
- Anthony Milford
- Corey Oates
- Cory Paix
- David Fifita
- Izaia Perese
- Jamayne Isaako
- Joe Ofahengaue
- Gehamat Shibasaki
- Sean O’Sullivan
Corey Oates, David Fifita and Joe Ofahengaue have all been named, while Matt Gillett will miss with a groin injury that has seen him miss the Origin decider this week. Anthony Milford has made a miraculous recovery and will slot straight into the fullback position with Darius Boyd at five-eighth and Jake Turpin moving to halfback to replace Sean O’Sullivan (hamstring). Turpin impressed in the halves after moving there in the second half last weekend. Xavier Coates and Herbie Farnworth both retain their spots – those that were looking for nuffs may be getting nervous.
Tevita Pangai Jr was outstanding last weekend; arguably the match-winner for the Broncos. He holds onto his starting edge spot but David Fifita is on the bench. After scores of 53, 64, 60 and 106 over the past month, he is a very attractive option to complete your 2RF/FRF position and may not be this cheap again with a BE of 30. However, his big month has coincided with Origin and my preference is to see how he performs with the cavalry back. Last weekend was the time to take a punt on him, unfortunately, I opted for Kenny Bromwich. Sigh.
Anthony Milford has made a miraculous recovery and is a vital number for this weekend with Kayln Ponga missing through injury. The positional switch and the fact that the Broncos play 6 of the last 9 games at Suncorp Stadium will likely see me run with him as a backup for Ponga through to the end.
Payne Haas is now priced over $600k, while Matt Lodge has a 5RA of 66 and Kotoni Staggs is a potential NPR keeper for the run home with the very valuable DPP flexibility and goal kicking duties.
Warriors: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (C), 2 David Fusitu’a, 3 Peta Hiku, 4 Gerard Beale, 5 Ken Maumalo, 6 Kodi Nikorima, 7 Blake Green, 8 Agnastius Paasi, 9 Issac Luke,10 Leeson Ah Mau, 11 Adam Blair, 12 Isaiah Papali’i, 13 Jazz Tevaga,
Interchange: 14 Lachlan Burr, 15 Sam Lisone, 16 Bunty Afoa, 17 Chanel Harris-Tavita,
Reserves; 18 Hayze Perham, 20 Blake Ayshford, 21 Ligi Sao, 23 Leivaha Pulu
The Ins & Outs
- Blake Ayshford
- Chanel Harris-Tavita
- Hayze Perham
- Leivaha Pulu
- Ligi Sao
- Karl Lawton
Issac Luke comes into the starting line-up at hooker for Karl Lawton who is out with a shoulder injury. Chanel Harris-Tevita makes his return to the first-grade side but only as far as the bench and Jazz Tevaga has been named despite suffering an ankle injury that saw him fail to play the game out last weekend.
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck failed to fire in the all-important round 16 and now has a BE of 82. He is the most traded out player right now but I’ll be holding for one to two more weeks as he could well and truly hit that against the Broncos with the reigning Dally M medalist scoring 66 there last year and James Tedesco is of course out.
Ken Maumalo has been on fire for the most of this season but now owners such as myself must decide whether he is a season-long keeper or is it time to move him on. A BE of 72 is not out of the question but it’s only going to get harder for him with the Warriors having a seemingly tough draw ahead. With that being said given with a high total base of 41 PPG for a winger, he is not completely reliant on attacking statistics. At just 11% ownership, he’s a borderline POD for the run home and I feel you need to pair the likes of Maumalo with a couple of CTW/2RF for a well balanced CTW.
STORM V SHARKS, 7.35PM AAMI PARK
Storm: 1. Jahrome Hughes 2. Suliasi Vunivalu 3. Will Chambers 4. Marion Seve 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cameron Munster 7. Brodie Croft 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Cameron Smith 10. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenneath Bromwich 13. Dale Finucane
14. Brandon Smith 15. Christian Welch 16. Joe Stimson 17. Ryan Papenhuyzen
18. Justin Olam 19. Tino Faasuamaleaui 20. Tui Kamikamica 21. Sandor Earl 22. Tom Eisenhuth 23. Solomone Kata
The Ins & Outs
- Cameron Munster
- Christian Welch
- Dale Finucane
- Felise Kaufusi
- Josh Addo-Carr
- Solomone Kata
- Tom Eisenhuth
- Will Chambers
- Albert Vete
- Billy Walters
Will Chambers, Josh Addo-Carr, Cameron Munster, Felise Kaufusi, Christian Welch and Dale Finucane have all been named and you’d think that they will play given the significance of the occasion. Their inclusion sees Justin Olam, Sandor Earl, Billy Walters, Albert Vete and Tui Kamikamica make way, while Joe Stimson and Brandon Smith move to the bench.
All the focus will be on Cameron Smith this weekend as he plays his 400th NRL game. As a non-owner, I am shitting myself. Cameron Munster could have a blinder and faces an achievable BE of 60. If you’re facing a doughnut with Ponga out then he shapes as a great cover option.
Kenny Bromwich owes me one.
Sharks: 1. Matt Moylan 2. Sosaia Feki 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Josh Dugan 5. Josh Morris 6. Shaun Johnson 7. Chad Townsend 8. Andrew Fifita 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Matt Prior 11. Briton Nikora 12. Wade Graham 13. Jack Williams
Interchange: 14. Kurt Capewell 15. Jayson Bukuya 16. Aaron Woods 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele
Reserves: 18. Billy Magoulias 19. Kyle Flanagan 20. Aaron Gray 21. Blayke Brailey
The Ins & Outs
- Aaron Gray
- Andrew Fifita
- Billy Magoulias
- Blayke Brailey
- Wade Graham
- Paul Gallen
Andrew Fifita returns from a three-week suspension, seeing Aaron Woods drop to the bench. Wade Graham has been named to back-up from Origin, while Kurt Capewell reverts to the bench and Paul Gallen is out injured. Jack Williams replaces Gallen at lock. Josh Morris switches to the wing and Josh Dugan shifts to centre.
Shaun Johnson was hooked in the dying minutes of the round 16 loss to the Broncos but has been saved from the humiliation of being dropped from the 17. With his form well down and a difficult match-up against the premiership favourites, you can only play him out of necessity if Nathan Cleary misses.
Bronson Xerri is the second most traded out players this round but he will not be leaving my side despite at BE of 76 and a plummeting price. From round 19 the Sharks play five of their final seven games at Shark Park including matches against the Cowboys, Dragons and the Warriors. I’ll play him in all three of those games and I can see them winning most of those despite their poor performance last weekend. Playing outside of Wade Graham has to be a positive too.
Is Britton Nikora back? After a largely disappointing month, he found his base again with a score of 58, including 55 from pure base against the Broncos. With trades running dangerously low I personally don’t see the value in trading him out for the likes of Manu Ma’u right now but that might change if Nikora reverts back to his mid 30’s.
ROOSTERS V COWBOYS, 2PM, CENTRAL COAST
Roosters: 1. Joseph Manu 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Latrell Mitchell 4. Brett Morris 5. Ryan Hall 6. Luke Keary 7. Cooper Cronk 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves 9. Jake Friend 10. Siosiua Taukeiaho 11. Nat Butcher 12. Mitchell Aubusson 13. Victor Radley
Interchange: 14. Isaac Liu 15. Angus Crichton 16. Sitili Tupouniua 17. Poasa Faamausili
Reserves: 18. Lindsay Collins 19. Matt Ikuvalu 20. Lachlan Lam 21. Sam Verrills
The Ins & Outs
- Jake Friend
- Lachlan Lam
- Lindsay Collins
- Matt Ikuvalu
- Siosiua Taukeiaho
- Zane Tetevano
Jake Friend has been named to make his return after a long layoff. seeing Victor Radley shift to lock and Isaac Liu goes back to the bench. Siosiua Taukeiaho returns from concussion at starting prop, while James Tedesco and Boyd Cordner have both not been named.
The return of Siosiua Taukeiaho is a very much a welcomed one given the likely late outs and reduced minutes for the Origin forwards this round. However, the loss of James Tedesco is not great for those who held him. With a BE of 136, I’ll be likely waiting until his round 19 match-up against the Bulldogs before making the RTS/Tedesco switch.
Tedesco’s early withdrawal is great news for Joseph Manu owners with Manu staying at fullback despite a bad head knock last weekend that saw him place just 47 minutes.
Latrell Mitchell is a captain option this weekend…. if you dare.
Cowboys: 1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Kyle Feldt 3. Jordan Kahu 4. Tom Opacic 5. Javid Bowen 6. Michael Morgan 7. Jake Clifford 8. Josh McGuire 9. Jake Granville 10. Jordan McLean 11. Gavin Cooper 12. Shane Wright 13. Jason Taumalolo
Interchange: 14. John Asiata 15. Matt Scott 16. Scott Bolton 17. Francis Molo
Reserves: 18. Coen Hess 19. Reuben Cotter 20. Corey Jensen 21. Murray Taulagi
The Ins & Outs
- Coen Hess
- Javid Bowen
- Josh McGuire
- Matthew Scott
- Murray Taulagi
- Enari Tuala
Matt Scott and Josh McGuire are huge ins, seeing Scott Bolton drop back to the bench. Javid Bowen has been recalled on the wing with Enari Tuala dropping out, while Coen Hess is listed among the reserves
If the Mitchell for captain pick is not quite suiting to your risk appetite then Jason Taumalolo may just be the man. Since round 8 he has scored under 70 once.
WESTS TIGERS V EELS, 4.05PM, BANKWEST
Wests Tigers: 1. Corey Thompson 2. Robert Jennings 3. Moses Mbye 4. Esan Marsters 5. David Nofoaluma 6. Benji Marshall 7. Luke Brooks 8. Josh Aloiai 9. Robbie Farah 10. Alex Twal 11. Ryan Matterson 12. Chris Lawrence 13. Matt Eisenhuth
Interchange: 14. Jacob Liddle 15. Thomas Mikaele 16. Elijah Taylor 17. Michael Chee-Kam
Reserves: 18. Paul Momirovski 19. Chris McQueen 20. Josh Reynolds 21. Oliver Clark
The Ins & Outs
- Chris McQueen
- Josh Reynolds
- Moses Mbye
- Oliver Clark
Moses Mbye has been named to back up from Origin in the centres with Paul Momirovski dropping to the reserves.
Esan Marsters was back to his best last weekend with 62 points from total base, not including goals. The try also helped. With a BE of 34, he is a hold at least the next week or so to determine whether or not he is actually back and he will have every chance this weekend against the Eels who have conceded 0.8 PPM to CTW’s over the past five rounds.
Eels: 1. Clint Gutherson 2. Maika Sivo 3. Brad Takairangi 4. Josh Hoffman 5. Blake Ferguson 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Kane Evans 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Junior Paulo 11. Shaun Lane 12. Manu Ma’u 13. Nathan Brown
Interchange: 14. Jaeman Salmon 15. Marata Niukore 16. David Gower 17. Tepai Moeroa
Reserves: 18. Oregon Kaufusi 19. Daniel Alvaro 20. Greg Lelesiuao 21. Bevan French
The Ins & Outs
- Bevan French
- Daniel Alvaro
- Greg Leleisiuao
- Marata Niukore
- Oregon Kaufusi
- Peni Terepo
There is only the one change for the Eels with Marata Niukore coming onto the bench for Peni Terepo.
Manu Ma’u will be a popular trade in target this round with a BE of 45. Whilst he is on the radar for me I am keen to see how his minutes go with a fully fit Nathan Brown in the side.
Mitchell Moses has a season average of 65 PPG and must be considered to finish off your 17. Whilst the price is high, the DPP flexibility will be a Godsend over the run home. The Eels have one of the easiest draws to come with matches against the Warriors, Dragons, Titans, Bulldogs and Broncos. They also play five of the last nine at the Bank West Stadium, a venue where he has averaged 83 PPG across five games this year. If I was in need of a half this weekend then I’d be making the move.
DRAGONS V RAIDERS, 6.10PM, WIN STADIUM
Dragons: 1. Matthew Dufty 2. Jonus Pearson 3. Euan Aitken 4. Timoteo Lafai 5. Mikaele Ravalawa 6. Corey Norman 7. Darren Nicholls 8. Jeremy Latimore 9. Cameron McInnes 10. Blake Lawrie 11. Jacob Host 12. Tariq Sims 13. Luciano Leilua
14. Korbin Sims 15. Reece Robson 16. Patrick Kaufusi 17. Josh Kerr
18. Tristan Sailor 19. Jason Saab 20. James Graham 21. Ben Hunt 22. Paul Vaughan 23. Tyson Frizell
The Ins & Outs
- Ben Hunt
- Corey Norman
- James Graham
- Jason Saab
- Paul Vaughan
- Tariq Sims
- Tristan Sailor
- Tyson Frizell
- Jai Field
- Mitchell Allgood
Tyson Frizell, Paul Vaughan and Ben Hunt have all been listed among the reserves while Corey Norman is in the starting side. Tariq Sims returns from suspension and Korbin Sims moves to the bench. James Graham is also named among the reserves as he is nearing a return from a broken leg.
Cameron McInnes was brilliant last weekend and is still affordable, particularly for those that don’t have cover for Damien Cook.
Those that picked up Josh Kerr last weekend will be hoping that he finds his way out of the 17 for one of the Origin stars.
Raiders: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Bailey Simonsson 3. Jarrod Croker 4. Nick Cotric 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Jack Wighton 7. Aidan Sezer 8. Josh Papalii 9. Josh Hodgson 10. Dunamis Lui 11. John Bateman 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Joseph Tapine
Interchange: 14. Siliva Havili 15. Corey Horsburgh 16. Iosia Soliola 17. Ryan Sutton
Reserves: 18. Sam Williams 19. Michael Oldfield 20. Royce Hunt 21. Emre Guler
The Ins & Outs
- Emre Guler
- Michael Oldfield
- Nick Cotric
- Royce Hunt
- Sam Williams
- Sebastian Kris
Nick Cotric has been named to return from an ankle injury and this sees Sebastian Kris drop out of the side. Josh Papalii has been named to back up from Origin.
As a non-John Bateman owner, I will be looking to make amends of that very soon but it can wait a week with the Englishman facing a BE of 102 this weekend.