Wenin’s Teams Analysis – R10

It’s been a typically busy day today for the NRL teams with plenty of ins and outs to get through this Tuesday.

There are a host of big names missing through injury and poor form, whilst there are some welcomed positional switches and inclusions to make it a very interesting week for SuperCoach.

Before we get stuck into it though I would just like to give a quick shout-out to the NRL for a fantastic initiative over the weekend with Magic Round. It was a brilliant experience and it should be on your bucket list for next year.

I’d also like to give a shout out to the few of you who made it to the Newstead Brewing Co on Saturday afternoon for our little meet and greet. It was lovely catch-up with all you legends.

Lastly, a few acknowledgements.

All the Ins & Outs included within today’s column are taken directly from NRL.com’s team lists article.

And as per usual, if you haven’t yet then you have to check out JT’s Weekend Roundup and Cheapie Watch articles. Both are must read’s every weekend. I’d give a shout-out to Wilfred but apparently, a dog ate his Minutes article this week……

As such, this is a tribute to you, Wilfred.

STORM VS TIGERS

Thursday, May 16th, AAMI Park, 7:50pm

Storm: 1. Ryan Papenhuyzen 2. Suliasi Vunivalu 3. Will Chambers 4. Marion Seve 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cameron Munster 7. Brodie Croft 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Cameron Smith 10. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenneath Bromwich 13. Dale Finucane

Interchange: 14. Brandon Smith 15. Christian Welch 16. Tui Kamikamica 17. Patrick Kaufusi

Reserves: 18. Billy Walters 19. Joe Stimson 20. Tino Faasuamaleaui 21. Sandor Earl

The Ins & Outs: Injuries to Jahrome Hughes and Curtis Scott have opened the door for Ryan Papenhuyzen to start at fullback and Marion Seve to return to first grade. The new face on the bench is Patrick Kaufusi.

Wenins’ Analysis: Ryan Papenhuyzen covers the injured Jahrome Hughes at fullback and could increase by as much as $130k by the time the Storm’s bye comes around in Round 12 (assuming he scores a 50 and a 10). However, he’s already seen a $91k price rise following his 119 point breakout performance during Magic Round so you’ve missed a bit of immediate profit there. There’s a chance that he could also be there in the starting 17 come the Round 16 bye with Jahrome Hughes a possibility to cover Cameron Munster in the halves but with scores of 8, 2 and 10 in his first three games off the bench this year he’s unlikely to hold his price by this round.

Cameron Smith now has a five-round average of 75 and is shaping as a solid trade in target for Round 16 and a possible keeper for the run home. He smashed out a 103 point score in just 65 minutes on the weekend.

Tigers: 1. Moses Mbye 2. Mahe Fonua 3. Robert Jennings 4. Esan Marsters 5. Corey Thompson 6. Benji Marshall 7. Luke Brooks 8. Ben Matulino 9. Robbie Farah 10. Alex Twal 11. Ryan Matterson 12. Chris McQueen 13. Matthew Eisenhuth

Interchange: 14. Jacon Liddle 15. Thomas Mikaele 16. Josh Aloiai 17. Michael Chee-Kam

Reserves: 18. Paul Momirovski 19. Elijah Taylor 20. Oliver Clark 21. Luke Garner

The Ins & Outs: Josh Aloiai returns after missing the Magic Round win over Penrith with a concussion. Oliver Clark is the man to drop off the bench to make way for Aloiai.

Wenins’ Analysis: There are no real changes of SuperCoach note here.

The Tigers face the bye in Round 12 so overall players can’t be really considering any of the players as trade in targets but the likes of Esan Marsters (BE 89), Ryan Matterson (BE 17) and Alex Twal (BE 54) are three players to consider from Round 13 onwards. Matterson, in particular, is having a monster SuperCoach season at his new club. He has scored over 60 in 56% of his games and has a season average of 69.

Viliame Kikau somehow continues to be named for the Panthers despite not being anywhere 100% fit.

PANTHERS VS WARRIORS

Friday, May 17th, Panthers Stadium, 6:00pm

Panthers: 1. Dylan Edwards 2. Brian To’o, 3. Dean Whare 4. Waqa Blake 5. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 6. James Maloney 7. Nathan Cleary 8. James Tamou 9. Sione Katoa 10. Tim Grant 11. Viliame Kikau 12. James Fisher-Harris 13. Liam Martin

Interchange: 14. Jarome Luai, 15. Tyrell Fuimaono 16. Moses Leota 17. Kaide Ellis

Reserves: 18. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 19. Hame Sele 20. Frank Winterstein 21. Caleb Aekins

The Ins & Outs: A host of changes with players returning from suspensions both club imposed and judiciary imposed. Dylan Edwards is back in the No.1 after spending a few weeks in reserve grade while Brian To’o comes in on the wing for his NRL debut and Waqa Blake is back after being dropped for disciplinary reasons last week. Liam Martin returns from his one-week suspension at lock. Sione Katoa takes over at hooker from Wayde Egan, who has been omitted. High-profile casualties of Penrith’s horror start are Josh Mansour and Origin prop Reagan Campbell-Gillard, who has been named among the reserves.

Wenins’ Analysis: The changes at the Panthers have some pretty big SuperCoach ramifications.

Potential bye coverage cheapie Caleb Aekins has been dropped for Dylan Edwards. Whilst Aekins was only owned by just over 5% of teams there was a chance for this to increase this weekend with his BE still at a relatively low 6.

Former SuperCoach gun Josh Mansour has been dropped with the $168k Ben To’o named to replace him on the wing. To’o could be on the bubble for Round 12 and be a perfect cheapie downgrade target then that would also provide you wth a valuable body for the first big bye round.

Interestingly, Viliame Kikau has been named despite looking absolutely shot last weekend. There is absolutely no way that he should have played and I still think there’s a chance that he could be 50/50 heading into this game. Priced at $516k and with a BE of 111, he is going to be very juicy come Round 12 but injuries are a concern for the big Panthers edge forward.

James Fisher-Harris is looming as the most reliable of the Panthers forwards for your side with a five-game average of 67 and a three-game average of 59. He’s unlikely to be a keeper so it will depend on how many trades you’ve used to date as to whether you bring him in or not for Round 12 coverage.

Liam Martin is another Panther forward that is worth consideration for this week. With a BE of -1 and a starting lock role, which looks relatively safe for Round 12 given that Isaah Yeo is not expected back until Round 4, Martin could be a better cheapie target this week than Thomas Dearden.

Warriors: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (c) 2 David Fusitu’a 3 Peta Hiku 4 Patrick Herbert 5 Ken Maumalo 6 Kodi Nikorima 7 Blake Green 8 Agnatius Paasi 9 Nathaniel Roache 10 Leeson Ah Mau 11 Isaiah Papali’i 12 Tohu Harris 13 Lachlan Burr

Interchange: 14 Jazz Tevaga 15 Bunty Afoa 16 Ligi Sao 17 Karl Lawton

Reserves: 18 Gerard Beale 20 Chanel Harris-Tavita 22 Issac Luke 23 Adam Blair

The Ins & Outs: The Warriors are intact, with Stephen Kearney finding no reason to change a winning team. Hooker Nathaniel Roache has a back injury that may yet force him out, but Kearney has listed experienced hooker Isaac Luke as a reserve, while Adam Blair and Chanel Harris-Tevita are also on standby as reserves.

Wenins’ Analysis: No changes for the Warriors with Issac Luke and Adam Blair still listed in the reserves.

If you didn’t offload Lachlan Burr last weekend then now is the time to do it. He has a BE of 79 and has already lost over $20k from his peak price of $488k. An upgrade to Jason Taumalolo this week is as good as it gets in SuperCoach.

Roger Tuivasa-Sheck is an absolute must for Round 13. The bloke is literally shitting SuperCoach points this year and I still don’t quite understand how he cracked the ton on the weekend, but I’ll leave the complaining to the Twitter bandits. With a BE of 75 and a 103 in his rolling average, he is unlikely to lose too much value before Round 13 but is worth the price tag this season.

The season-ending injury to Jack Bird is a shocker not only the Broncos but possibly also NSW.

BRONCOS VS ROOSTERS

Friday, May 17th, Suncorp Stadium, 7:55pm

Broncos: 1. Darius Boyd 2. Corey Oates 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Gehamat Shibasaki 5. Jamayne Isaako 6. Anthony Milford 7. Tom Dearden 8. Matthew Lodge 9. Jake Turpin 10. Payne Haas 11. Alex Glenn 12. Matt Gillett 13. Thomas Flegler

Interchange: 14. Patrick Carrigan 15. David Fifita 16. Tevita Pangai Junior 17. Joe Ofahengaue

Reserves: 18. James Segeyaro 19. James Roberts 20. Jaydn Su’A 21. Sean O’Sullivan

The Ins & Outs: The loss of centre Jack Bird (knee) for the season has forced a reshuffle with Gehamat Shibasaki moving from the wing into the centres and Jamayne Isaako returning on the wing after being dropped last week. Blues centre James Roberts remains on the outer while new hooker James Segeyaro has also been named among the reserves.

Wenins’ Analysis: There is still no room in the starting 17 for James Roberts and Jamayne Isaako, while new recruit James Segeyaro has only been named in the reserves.

The season-ending injury to Jack Bird is a shocker for the Broncos. He has been arguably their best player this year. However, it hasn’t quite translated into SuperCoach output with a season average of 54 but given he averaged just 26 PPG last year it has been a marked improvement from him. At $448k, you can trade him out this weekend for a nice $127k profit.

Thomas Dearden has retained his position as the starting halfback and will play his third game this week, which means he is on the bubble. At $168k and with a BE of -12, now is the best time to get on but if you’ve got other more pressing trades this week then you can wait given that with a score of 35 he will see just a $33k increase. Anthony Milford’s form has seemingly improved with Dearden in the side so you’d think that the rookie’s job security is pretty sound. He’s also got a very solid base for a halfback of 27, so with any sort of attacking statistic, he could easily pump out a 50+ score.

Regardless of the price and low BE, it’s far too risky to be jumping on Anthony Milford right now. The Broncos miss Round 12 and Milford has just been far too inconsistent over the past 18 months. If we see a trend of stability and continued good performances, which may now happen with Dearden there, then he’s a possible inclusion for Round 13 should he not make the Queensland side.

Payne Haas is a lock-in inclusion for your 17 each week and a potential keeper for the season. The kid is a freak. Since returning from the club-imposed suspension he has averaged 67 PPG and a massive 66 MPG. Incredible stuff.

Roosters: 1. James Tedesco, 2. Daniel Tupou, 3. Latrell Mitchell, 4. Joseph Manu, 5. Matt Ikuvalu, 6. Luke Keary, 7. Cooper Cronk, 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves, 9. Victor Radley, 10. Sio Siua Taukeiaho, 11. Mitchell Aubusson , 12. Angus Crichton, 13. Isaac Liu

Interchange: 14. Nat Butcher, 15. Zane Tetevano, 16. Lindsay Collins 17. Sitili Tupouniua

Reserves: 18. Poasa Faamausili, 19. Sam Verrills 20. Brock Lamb 21. Ryan Hall

The Ins & Outs: One forced change for the premiers with Boyd Cordner (concussion) replaced by Mitchell Aubusson in the back row. Lindsay Collins comes onto the bench. England international Ryan Hall has been named among the reserves as he continues the long road back from the ACL injury he suffered while playing for Leeds last August.

Wenins’ Analysis: The one change for the Roosters is not overly SuperCoach relevant. Despite Boyd Cordner averaging 61 PPG this year he is owned in just 5% of teams.

The Roosters face the Round 12 bye but have a host of players that are worthy contenders for a Round 13 trade-in target. Heading that list for me is Sio Siua Taukeiaho who has a season average of 68 PPG and should kick goals for the Roosters in Round 16 whilst Latrell Mitchell is out with Origin duty. Going off current numbers he is a legitimate keeper option for your FRF forward this year and a trade from Martin Taupau to Taukeiaho in Round 13 is definitely on the cards for me. Taukeiaho’s minutes have increased by 7 MPG from 2018 but it’s been his work rate that has really upped his SuperCoach relevance with his PPM increasing from 1.02 to 1.28. His base+power for the year is 59 which has him ranked 9th overall in the competition.

Latrell Mitchell has been named despite picking up a groin injury that saw him play just 50 minutes. With a current price of $699k and a BE of 14 he is a pass until Round 17 where hopefully he will be available at a more affordable price tag.

Don’t miss out on grabbing the Round 9 SC Bible, which is available for a free download here.

TITANS VS BULLDOGS

Saturday, May 18th, Cbus Super Stadium, 3:00pm

Titans: 1. AJ Brimson 2. Anthony Don 3. Tyrone Peachey 4. Brian Kelly 5. Dale Copley 6. Tyrone Roberts 7. Ashley Taylor 8. Jarrod Wallace 9. Mitch Rein 10. Moe Fotuaika 11. Kevin Proctor 12. Bryce Cartwright 13. Jai Arrow

Interchange: 14. Jesse Arthurs 15. Shannon Boyd 16. Jack Stockwell 17. Max King

Reserves: 18. Jai Whitbread 19. Will Matthews 20. Riley Jacks 21. Brenko Lee

The Ins & Outs: Veteran fullback Michael Gordon has a leg injury and his place is taken by AJ Brimson, who shifts from five-eighth to the No.1. Tyrone Roberts returns from concussion at five-eighth. In the pack, Shannon Boyd has been named on the bench and Moeaki Fotuaika in the starting side. Boyd left the field for an HIA against the Sharks last week and did not return so the Titans will be monitoring his progress. Jesse Arthars retains his spot on the bench after debuting last week.

Wenins’ Analysis: With Michael Gordon out with a leg injury, AJ Brimson has been shifted to fullback, which could see him as an option for Round 12. However, on the latest NRL.com casualty ward update, Gordon is listed as returning in Round 11 making it a risky acquisition.

Since Ryan James went down injured for the season 12 minutes into Round 6, Jai Arrow has averaged 70 MPG and 68 PPG. He is finally producing what we thought he would do and is now a potential hold over the Origin period, particularly if he plays limited minutes off the bench for Queensland.

Given he is now starting at prop, Moeaki Fotuaika is a massive watch for Round 12. He is a potential SuperCoach beast and if he can play more than the mid-40’s that he’s been averaging over the past couple of weeks off the bench then he could push easily into being a 50-55+ FRF at just $331k. However, in the two games that he has started this year, he has averaged just 40 MPG.

With Round 12 coverage looming, Bryce Cartwright is a hold for three more weeks despite his BE starting to surpass his average. He has been denied a couple of tries over the past few weeks so he is a chance every week for attacking stats.

Aiden Tolman is as consistent as they come and shapes as a solid option for Round 12.

Bulldogs: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Jayden Okunbor 3. Kerrod Holland 4. Will Hopoate 5. Reimis Smith 6. Kieran Foran 7. Jack Cogger 8. Aiden Tolman 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Dylan Napa 11. Josh Jackson 12. Corey Harawira-Naera 13. Danny Fualalo

Interchange: 14. Rhyse Martin 15. Ofahiki Ogden 16. Chris Smith 17. Sauaso Sue

Reserves: 19. Fa’amanu Brown 20. Lachlan Lewis 21. Kerrod Holland 22. Renouf Toomaga

The Ins & Outs: Plenty of changes as Dean Pay looks to lift his team off the bottom with a third win of the season. Kieran Foran moves from halfback to five-eighth in a straight swap with Jack Cogger. In the forwards, Corey Harawira-Naera returns after missing Magic Round due to personal reasons, pushing Chris Smith to the bench. Rhyse Martin gets a spot on the bench after he was dropped last week. Back-rower Adam Elliott is out and his spot is taken by Danny Fualolo. No return for Lachlan Lewis and Kerrod Holland who were dropped last week. Both have been named among the reserves.

Wenins’ Analysis: The inclusion of Corey Harawira-Naera is a positive for owners as they were left with a big hole to fill last weekend given his late withdrawal. However, owners of Rhyse Martin will continue to feel frustrated with the back row forward named on the bench.

Jayden Okunbor has probably peaked in value at $376k but should be held until at least 13 given the Round 12 coverage.

Aiden Tolman is a legitimate option for Round 12 and a possible keeper for the season. He has an average of 60 PPG and is just so consistent. In a team that throws up surprises each week you know exactly what you are going to get from Tolman. Add in him and you can lock in 60 points for Round 12.

COWBOYS VS EELS

Saturday, May 18th, 1300 SMILES Stadium, 5:30pm

Cowboys: 1. Jordan Kahu, 2. Kyle Feldt, 3. Justin O’Neill, 4. Tom Opacic, 5. Ben Hampton, 6. John Asiata, 7. Michael Morgan, 8. Matthew Scott, 9. Jake Granville, 10. Jordan McLean, 11. Gavin Cooper, 12. Coen Hess, 13. Jason Taumalolo

Interchange: 14. Kurt Baptiste, 15. Mitchell Dunn, 16. Scott Bolton, 17. Francis Molo

Reserves: 18. Corey Jensen, 19. Gideon Gela-Mosby, 20. Shane Wright, 21. Jake Clifford

The Ins & Outs: The only change to the side which put in a brave showing against the Rabbitohs last weekend is Jake Granville being named to start at hooker with Kurt Baptiste on the bench. Paul Green named Granville to start last week and then swapped him with Baptiste an hour before kick-off so he may yet opt to do the same again.

Wenins’ Analysis: No changes of note for the Cowboys from a SuperCoach perspective.

This week shall forth be known as Jason Taumalolo trade in week. Priced at $602k and with a BE of 56 this is possibly the lowest price that Taumalolo will be all year and he will importantly cover you for Round 12. If you ignore the 19 that he scored in Round 2 due to a) being the banner and b) suffering an injury in the 34th minute, he has averaged 85 PPG in three games. It’s little surprise, therefore, to see him as the most traded-in player as of now for this week.

If you failed to jump off Michael Morgan last week then it basically must be one of your trades this weekend. Following scores of 26 and 29, he now has a BE of 94 and will continue to fall in price with these low scores in his rolling average. He will miss Rounds 12 and 16, it’s time to move him on.

Mitchell Dunn played 73 minutes in Round 9 for 56 points with 32 coming from base. The extended minutes were due to Jordan Kahu’s HIA and a few positional changes in the forwards. One to keep an eye on given the Round 12 coverage.

Maika Sivo will miss this week through suspension.

Eels: 1. Clinton Gutherson (c) 2. George Jennings 3. Josh Hoffman 4. Brad Takairangi 5. Blake Ferguson 6. Will Smith 7. Mitch Moses 8. Daniel Alvaro 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Junior Paulo 11. Shaun Lane 12. Marata Niukore 13. Manu Ma’u

Interchange: 14. Peni Terepo 15. Tim Mannah (c) 16. Tepai Moeroa 17. Oregon Kaufusi

Reserves: 18. Kane Evans 19. Matt McIlwrick 20. Jaeman Salmon 21. Bevan French

The Ins & Outs: Plenty of player movement at Parra, with George Jennings on the wing for the suspended Maika Sivo. Josh Hoffman has been called up to play centre, while Will Smith has been named as the starting five-eighth after Jaeman Salmon was dropped to the reserves. Manu Ma’u will start at lock, with Tepai Moeroa dropped to the bench. Reed Mahoney is the starting hooker and Peni Terepo is back on the bench.

Wenins’ Analysis: Maika Sivo owners can be very thankful for a 68-minute try that saved the winger from a truly horrible night. With Round 12 coverage coming up and despite a BE of 66 and suspension this week, Sivo can be held through to Round 13.

Manu Ma’u starting at lock is potentially great news for SuperCoach given he is available as a dual CTW/2RF and is set to see a few more drops in price with a current BE of 104. However, minutes may continue to be an issue with both Shaun Lane playing 80 minutes and Tepai Moeroa likely to feature in the middle off the bench. If he does start to creep back up to the 80-minute mark then he will definitely be a trade-in option for Round 12 and possibly a season keeper for your CTW.

New owners of Clint Gutherson and Blake Ferguson will be feeling a bit sorry for themselves after a horrible weekend for the pair and it won’t just be due to the 20 beers consumed over Magic Round. Gutherson scored a 10 in a night where absolutely nothing went right for him. This score saw him lose $60k and he will likely continue to lose cash with the low score in his rolling average. If he averages 65 across the next two weeks he will available for close to $485k for Round 12, which is an absolute steal for a player of his class and SuperCoach pedigree. Ferguson had a similarly poor night with a score of 31 and has now fallen by over $130k from his starting price. He will also be available for less than $500k come Round 12 and if he misses the NSW side then he should be seriously considered.

RAIDERS VS RABBITOHS

Saturday, May 18th, GIO Stadium, 7:30pm

Raiders: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Bailey Simonsson 3. Jarrod Croker (c) 4. Nick Cotric 5. Michael Oldfield 6. Jack Wighton 7. Sam Williams 8. Josh Papalii 9. Josh Hodgson 10. Dunamis Lui 11. Hudson Young 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Ryan Sutton

Interchange: 14. Siliva Havili 15. Sebastian Kris 16. Sia Soliola 17. Corey Horsburgh

Reserves: 18. Aidan Sezer 19. Emre Guler 20. Royce Hunt 21. Jack Murchie

The Ins & Outs: One forced change on the wing, with Bailey Simonsson replacing injured Jordan Rapana (knee). Ricky Stuart also opted to move Nick Cotric to centre and Michael Oldfield to wing. Sebastian Kris was named to fill Simonsson’s place on the bench. The Raiders are otherwise intact and aiming to make up for last week’s loss to the Roosters.

Wenins’ Analysis: JT’s best mate, Bailey Simonsson, may finally start to make some cash with the winger set to replace the injured Jordan Rapana over the next month. However, he does have a BE of 26 despite being priced at just $186k. Rapana can be sold given he won’t provide cover in Round 12 now and has scored over 60 just once this year. He’s a 2020 target for me.

I’ve mentioned him now for three straight weeks but old mate Jarrod Croker continues to impress in a backline riddled with injuries of late. He has a five-round average of 65 and is still available at a relatively affordable $548k – but he was priced as low as $460k just five weeks ago.

How about Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad? He is absolutely pushing Briton Nikora for the ‘cheapie of the year’ award. At half-time, on Sunday his score was only in the teens but it seemed like it could have been on much more given how well he was playing in real life. I guess if his initials were RTS and not CNK then he would have been on 100 by then. Thankfully, he put on a clinic in the second half as the Raiders fought back bravely. With a season average of 65 PPG he is every bit a season keeper at this stage.

Corey Allan to fullback? Yes please!

Rabbitohs: 1. Corey Allen 2. Mawene Hiroti 3. Kyle Turner 4. Dane Gagai 5. Campbell Graham 6. Cody Walker 7. Adam Reynolds 8. George Burgess 9. Damien Cook 10. Tom Burgess 11. John Sutton 12. Sam Burgess 13. Cameron Murray

Interchange: 14. Tevita Tatola 15. Mark Nicholls 16. Ethan Lowe 17. Liam Knight

Reserves: 18. Jacob Gagan 19. Bayley Sironen 20. Dean Britt 21. Tom Amone

The Ins & Outs: A change in the No.1 jersey with Corey Allan shifting from the wing to fullback to replace the injured Alex Johnston (knee). Mawene Hiroti comes in on the wing for just his second NRL game. George Burgess has again been named to start but will most likely swap with Junior Tatola on game day as has been the case for the past six weeks.

Wenins’ Analysis: One of the biggest winners of the week could be Corey Allan owners with the rookie named to replace Alex Johnston at fullback with the veteran out for the next month with a knee injury. This should hopefully result in a spike in Allan’s SuperCoach output, which has been disappointing at best and that’s being kind. The profits had seemingly dried up with Allan already seeing his first drop in price on the weekend from $271k to $264k, but now we are hoping that the positional shift will see a spike in his poor base output of just 14 BPPG to something that will see him get close to his current BE of 48. We desperately need a few more price rises to help with the RTS trade in Round 13.

Mawene Hiroti will play his first game of the year and therefore could be on the bubble come Round 12 but is unlikely to make much money given Johnston is due back in Round 13-14. With that being said he could be an ideal NPR nuff that covers you for Round 12.

Following a score of 64 and a defeat by the banner – yep I’m calling it – Cody Walker’s price might finally be set to tumble with the gun five-eighth facing a BE of 110 this week.

DRAGONS VS KNIGHTS

Sunday, May 18th, Glen Willow Sports Complex, Mudgee, 2:00pm

Dragons: 1. Matt Dufty 2. Jordan Pereira 3. Zac Lomax 4. Tim Lafai 5. Mikaele Ravalawa 6. Jai Field 7. Ben Hunt 8. James Graham 9. Cameron McInnes 10. Paul Vaughan 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Tariq Sims 13. Blake Lawrie

Interchange: 14. Jeremy Latimore 15. Euan Aitken 16. Jacob Host 17. Luciano Leilua

Reserves: 18. Mitchell Allgood 19. Jonus Pearson 20. Josh Kerr 21. Korbin Sims

The Ins & Outs: Paul McGregor has opted against changes as the Dragons aim to snap a three-game losing slide. The only possible alteration will be Korbin Sims being elevated to the final 17-man team after he was named as a reserve, but the uncompromising prop has to prove he has recovered from a broken arm.

Wenins’ Analysis: In a real sliding doors moment, I once shared a whisky with Paul McGregor whilst on my honeymoon in far North Queensland. If I had of known that he was going to bench Zac Lomax after the 52nd minute despite scoring a try and kicking three goals for a struggling Euan Aitken on May 11, 2019, then maybe I spike his drink. Just kidding that would be murder and I would never do that, ever. But seriously, what planet is this guy on? Hopefully, the fact that the Dragons conceded three tries post the Lomax subbing and went on to lose the game will prevent this from happening again, but then again probably not. PS: Yes I’m still bitter.

By the way, how good was my co-host of the SC Report’s SuperCoach calls this week? His advice to fellow SCTalk contributor, Sparky, was to sell Paul Vaughan. No good he said. 72 points later. And of course, JT decided to bring in Clint Gutherson despite a match-up against the Storm. Nice one, champ.

Hail the king. Remember that time the Cowboys let him go?

Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Edrick Lee 3. Hymel Hunt 4. Jesse Ramien 5. Shaun Kenny-Dowall 6. Connor Watson 7. Mitchell Pearce 8. David Klemmer 9. Danny Levi 10.Daniel Saifiti 11. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 12. Mitchell Barnett 13. Tim Glasby

Interchange: 14. Kurt Mann 15. Herman Ese’ese 16. James Gavet 17. Sione Mata’utia

Reserves: 18. Josh King 19. Pasami Saulo 20. Jamie Buhrer 21. Mason Lino

The Ins & Outs: Three wins on the trot has given Nathan Brown the luxury of some stability and he has named the same 17 which took care of the Bulldogs in the Magic Round on the back of Ponga and Pearce’s brilliance. The last time the Knights won four in a row was the opening four rounds of 2015.

Wenins’ Analysis: No changes for the Knights = short analysis. Yes! It’s getting late.

One word, Ponga. What a freak this kid is. It was one of the all-time great moments on Saturday when the SCTalk lads were able to roost home their captain Ponga as he danced past the entire Bulldogs site after a horrendous no-knock on call. If only there was a video of our celebration. Man, even Wilfred smiled.

SHARKS VS SEA EAGLES

Sunday, May 18th, PointsBet Stadium, 4:00pm

Sharks: 1. Josh Dugan 2. Sosaia Feki 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Josh Morris 5. Aaron Gray 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Chad Townsend 8. Andrew Fifita 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Matt Prior 11. Briton Nikora 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Paul Gallen (c)

Interchange: 14. Blayke Brailey 15. Jayson Bukuya 16. Jack Williams 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele

Reserves: 18. Scott Sorensen 19. Sione Katoa 20. Billy Magoulias 21. William Kennedy

The Ins & Outs: Not a single change to the team that came from behind to beat the Titans 26-18 in Magic Round. Sione Katoa and Scott Sorensen have been named as reserves.

Wenins’ Analysis: No changes, looking good for Wenin.

In pleasing news, Andrew Fifita has been named despite playing just seven minutes due to a hamstring injury on Friday night. Given this is the final game of the round it will be ‘squeaky bum time’ determining whether or not to sit or start him late in the weekend. Keep your eyes and ears to the ground and of course, make sure you follow @NRLPhysio and @AStilesAuthor on twitter for all the latest and greatest news.

Dylan Walker has been cleared to return to the NRL this weekend.

Sea Eagles: 1. Brendan Elliot, 2. Jorge Taufua, 3. Dylan Walker, 4. Brad Parker, 5. Reuben Garrick, 6. Lachlan Croker, 7. Kane Elgey, 8. Addin Fonua-Blake, 9. Apisai Koroisau, 10. Martin Taupau, 11. Joel Thompson, 12. Curtis Sironen, 13. Jake Trbojevic.

Interchange: 14. Manase Fainu 15. Jack Gosiewski, 16. Corey Waddell, 17. Morgan Boyle

Reserves: 18. Kelepi Tanginoa, 19. Cade Cust, 20 Taniela Paseka 21. Lloyd Perrett

The Ins & Outs: The return of Dylan Walker in the centres for his first game of the season is a huge boost for Des Hasler’s side. The cavalry has also arrived in the form of Jorge Taufua (calf), Addin Fonua-Blake (knee) and Lachlan Croker (hamstring) which helps offset the loss of Moses Suli (finger) and Toafofoa Sipley (knee). Curtis Sironen shifts from five-eighth back to the pack and Jack Gosiewski goes back to the bench. Abbas Miski has been left out of the 17 as has Kelepi Tanginoa.

Wenins’ Analysis: Whether you like it or not, Dylan Walker is back in the NRL and he is also a SuperCoach target for Round 12 coverage. Priced at just $314k, he is cheap for a guy that has averaged 56 just two seasons ago. Should he take over the goal-kicking duties whilst Daly Cherry-Evans is out injured from Reuben Garrick then this is an obvious bonus.

Addin Fonua-Blake returns but can he be trusted? He seems to miss every second week through suspension or injury.

Jake Trbojevic has been as consistent as ever this season, scoring over 60 points 78% of the time. However, I am leaning towards moving him on prior to the Round 12 bye with the view of picking him up in the run home. He will miss Rounds 12 and 16 and may also be rested in the games that fall between. However, last year during the Origin period he produced scores of 66, 59 and 85 (which included two line breaks) and played effectively 80 MPG. In any case, I can’t see him being priced much different from what he is now.

Martin Taupau has three more games left in the Wenin Romes. His past month has included scores of 53, 96 (with a try), 55 and 56. He just isn’t getting enough minutes (4 MPG down on 2018) and if it weren’t for his ridiculous PPM of 1.31 then it would be a real horror show this year.

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WeninRome

Wenin is one of the founding fathers of the NRLSCTalk website who's Tuesday Teams Analysis has been a feature post on the site for close to a decade. He also loves a good steak bet!

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    Time For Plan BtrentmarkLiving on the edgematthewsmith6991The Duke Recent comment authors
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    AJW
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    Borderline keeper
    AJW

    Always well-reasoned food for thought. Thanks Wenin! Hope your season’s going well mate! See you round!

    Cardy
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    Sleeper
    Cardy

    Thanks Wennin I can either sell ox and B Brailey for L Knight and CS9 or sell fafita and Xerri for Lolo and J Croker I’m going with option one at the moment what do you think and why cheers mate

    tryscoringmachine
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    tryscoringmachine

    Cheers Wenin, is Montoya playing for the dogs this week?

    tryscoringmachine
    Member
    Borderline keeper
    tryscoringmachine

    DT has holland listed at centre and in the reserves lol

    trentmark
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    trentmark

    Bird > Papenhauven, who will ton up again v Tigers.
    Papa to either Fergo/Gutho in a few weeks for a straight swap.
    Cost is one trade and will pay for the Flegler to JT trade this week.
    Genius

    DonnieBrasco
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    DonnieBrasco

    Long time reader. Love your work mate!

    Hitro Okesene
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    Keeper
    Hitro Okesene

    Nice read again mate, well done. I’m with you on Taupau as well. He just hasn’t produced consistent keeper scores/mins this year, even when AFB and others have been missing from the pack. After rd12 he will be gone-burgers from my side too. I am keeping a close eye on Tohu Harris. He isn’t fully fit yet, but looked way more dangerous with Nikorima and HIku on his side. Expecting his scores to pick back up after a rest in rd12.

    trentmark
    Member
    trentmark

    Des will not give Marty anymore than 40mins a game. Not sure last week if it was due to having so many injury replacements used before hand or what. Should play longer time while Jurbo is on leave

    The Duke
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    Gun
    The Duke

    Thanks for the great (as usual) post Wenin. Regarding the once great Martin Taupau, he is on the reserves list and has actually sat out two of the last three games for me. If I move him on, I can have cash post STOOL to fix the side up.

    He’s leaving this week.

    Living on the edge
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    Gun
    Living on the edge

    This week? Even if you’re H2H that wouldn’t make sense since he should’ve been gone a while ago.

    trentmark
    Member
    trentmark

    Surely he gets more minutes while Jurbo is away in rd12. Unless you have 27 players why would you sell?

    matthewsmith6991
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    matthewsmith6991

    What’s the minimum number of players for round 12?
    I’m looking at 14 if I trade correctly
    Or 13 if I got for Papenhauven this week.

    trentmark
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    trentmark

    Numbers may not be important as quality.

    Time For Plan B
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    Gun
    Time For Plan B

    Great analysis as always

    Time For Plan B
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    Time For Plan B

    Hey Fitzy? Any chance you could pin this message? I got told to post this around different places in the hopes you’ll see it and be able to pin it to the Scores and Chat thread that will be up later. If not, please feel free to remove as you see fit. I’m looking at making a discord for anyone interested. Keep the discussion flowing without any trolls interfering. Obviously this site will still be used, but the discord can be used for those who the trolls really do bother when they’d like to have some serious SC discussions with… Read more »