Justin

North Queenslander born and bred, Justin is also very much a Cowboys tragic. Rumours have it that his first born son will be named Thurston.

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Sally M
Sally M (@sally-m)
2 months ago

Magic number has had a massive drop from 8160 to 7884 this week. Main effect of the change makes breakevens higher and harder to obtain for next week.

To calculate a breakeven use the following formula.

Breakeven = ( ( Players current salary / Magic Number ) x 3 ) – last two scores

eg Cleary = ( ( 1079700 / 7884 ) x 3 ) – 190 – 54 = 167

Cleary’s breakeven the week before using the old magic number would have been 153.

Reposted from Team News Scores and Chat from the end of round 13.

OnTheBus
OnTheBus (@samardo)
Reply to  Sally M
2 months ago

So next week player’s BE’s will be higher than usual?

Sally M
Sally M (@sally-m)
Reply to  OnTheBus
2 months ago

This week’s BE’s are the highest they have been all season. Next week will be dependent on the MN next week. No reason to believe it will have a bounce back next week to the high 8100s straight away.

Emcee
Emcee (@fatboy)
Reply to  Sally M
2 months ago

Historically the MN does drop after a bye round & bounces back the following week. I think it comes down to 50% less players affecting averages & generally lower scores over bye rounds.

ConstantlyTipsy
ConstantlyTipsy (@constantlytipsy)
2 months ago

Big score of 1136 moves me to 36th overall.
Huge shout out to all the columnists and contributors here – would not be possible without the quality content.

Question – How many non-duds are people expecting to have for 17? And how many trades do we need for the run home?

I’m thinking we need at least 9 for the run home with big post origin ins that most people won’t have right now such as

  • DFif
  • Paps
  • Haas
  • CTW Lottery
stormers
stormers (@pete)
Reply to  ConstantlyTipsy
2 months ago

Haas is kidding himself

MyYfH8sSC
MyYfH8sSC (@tigers-for-15th)
Reply to  stormers
2 months ago

He looks far from a must at present, especially at that price. Dfaf looks to be a Rd 19 inclusion if you don’t already have him.

vertigo
vertigo (@vertigo)
Reply to  ConstantlyTipsy
2 months ago

Add Munster to the list.

Backi
Backi (@backi)
Reply to  ConstantlyTipsy
2 months ago

Congrats mate I gave you a wave as you jumped past me this week. Sitting in the 60s and hoping for a big week this week to make up for a small drop last week.

I am undecided how many players I will aim for 17 and how many trades to leave for the run home but plan to have a near finalised squad for 17 so will probably max trade til then.

Peeking Ducks
Peeking Ducks (@peeking-ducks)
2 months ago

Time to trim the fat. What order would you trade these guys out?

Leniu, Palasia, Kelly, Staines, Niu

PnoyBronx
PnoyBronx (@br0nc0s4l1f3)
Reply to  Peeking Ducks
2 months ago

Staines Leniu Palasia Niu Kelly.
Kelly is borderline keeper/5th CTW option, only because CTW is a lottery and Trades are so valuable.

teza
teza (@teza)
2 months ago

Play schuster ?

Eels247
Eels247 (@eels247)
Reply to  teza
2 months ago

Will he be back? Sorry thought was injured still?

pipiman
pipiman (@pipiman)
Reply to  Justin
2 months ago

Agree on Luki, but damn, I thought he was gonna be my secret!

Bradd9
Bradd9 (@bradd9)
Reply to  Justin
2 months ago

Lolo, Burr and Molo all back this week.

AJW
AJW (@ajw)
Reply to  Justin
2 months ago

Ne’er a truer word was spoken JT! So few trades and so many players to send back to their bush league clubs! Would have been looking to replace all my squad with Maroon and Whites before this Friday (Manly, not Qld! No facetious comments young man! 🙂 )! Maybe with the exception of young Luki (imagine the hat-trick in the match against the Sea Eagles, where Manly hold on to win 42-38???) – anyway, good luck! Think I might trade in the Koala, instead of CHN this week – looks much improved, and Souffs are heading into a nice run… Read more »

PnoyBronx
PnoyBronx (@br0nc0s4l1f3)
2 months ago

Prioritising my trade outs more than who I want in this next few week.
With Keeper and Rd17 firmly in my thought who is best hooker to trade in?
1st trade is
Doueihi to CWalk.
2nd trade is
Brailey to ????

Wardie
Wardie (@wardie)
Reply to  PnoyBronx
2 months ago

Brailey is a hold for mine. Trade to Grant/Cook post origin. Waste of a trade at HOK, to go to someone for 17.

PnoyBronx
PnoyBronx (@br0nc0s4l1f3)
Reply to  Wardie
2 months ago

He is leaking cash tho?

Wardie
Wardie (@wardie)
Reply to  PnoyBronx
2 months ago

All about points now, as the cash generation phase of the game is over IMO. Knights have had a few tough games, but their draw opens up, after this weekend.
Grant seems to be the clear cut HOK for the run home, so bring him in post origin. Save the trade.

stormers
stormers (@pete)
Reply to  Wardie
2 months ago

Cook done nothing all year

Bozzin8r
Bozzin8r (@bozzin8r)
Reply to  stormers
2 months ago

Still averaging 62 despite being in a big form slump individually, not crazy to think with Murray back and some confidence he can have a strong finish to the season post origin

knights_ftw
knights_ftw (@knights_ftw)
Reply to  PnoyBronx
2 months ago

I doubt you’ll have a full 17 in round 17 so I’d cop an AE at starting hooker unless Cook isn’t selected for Origin 3. There’s no point wasting a trade for 40 points then wasting another to trade that player out if you’re going to run short anyway.

vertigo
vertigo (@vertigo)
2 months ago

Watson, you’ve served us well, but it’s time to go (no thanks to your coach).

uncledami
uncledami (@uncledami)
Reply to  vertigo
2 months ago

Surely he starts at 5/8 this week

Swarley
Swarley (@blue)
Reply to  uncledami
2 months ago

Pearce back this week or next.

MyYfH8sSC
MyYfH8sSC (@tigers-for-15th)
Reply to  vertigo
2 months ago

Surely Watson isn’t your biggest priority sell!

MyYfH8sSC
MyYfH8sSC (@tigers-for-15th)
2 months ago

Wow, I’m into the top 100! I think I had better take a screenshot! Thanks to all for your help. Barnett to CHN looks my obvious first trade. Any news on Hodgson’s departure -Starling looks to be the only Rd 17 hooker option if/when this happens.

knights_ftw
knights_ftw (@knights_ftw)
Reply to  MyYfH8sSC
2 months ago

I’m doing that exact trade. I’m also thinking about copping an AE in R17 at hooker, I’ll to cop it somewhere and unless Cook isn’t selected for SOO3 I don’t think it’s worth bringing someone in. Hopefully I’m wrong and we get a final cheapie haha

dirty_bhunt
dirty_bhunt (@dirty_bhunt)
2 months ago

Trade help please.

$436,800 ITB, 17 trades left

Brailey / Watson
Thomson, Pangai / Uto leniu
IPap Tohu, JFH / Angus, topine, Magoulias
Burton / cleary
Cwalk / Gamble
Hynes Sivo Laurie Olam / Too Saab Fus
Gutho / Teddy

Thanks in advance for your help

Bluegoose
Bluegoose (@bluegoose)
Reply to  dirty_bhunt
2 months ago

Pending teams and how origin plays out:
Olam —- Suaalii
Leniu —> CHN or David Fifita (via JFH or IPap)

Bluegoose
Bluegoose (@bluegoose)
Reply to  Bluegoose
2 months ago

If Suaalii doesn’t start I would go Olam to Alex Johnston… and go CHN.

knights_ftw
knights_ftw (@knights_ftw)
Reply to  dirty_bhunt
2 months ago

Ipap to TKO via TPJ
Olam to whoever takes your fancy, ideally playing round 17

dirty_bhunt
dirty_bhunt (@dirty_bhunt)
2 months ago

Is Saab worth keeping for Rd 17 coverage?
TU keep
TD Hell no

Last edited 2 months ago by dirty_bhunt
uncledami
uncledami (@uncledami)
Reply to  dirty_bhunt
2 months ago

GC R15
Dogs R16
pray Thomas stays healthy

Backi
Backi (@backi)
Reply to  dirty_bhunt
2 months ago

Only issue is no turbo for Rd 17 so does he score more than 12 that week?

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