The SC Weather Report & Heat Maps – R19 – updated
Like this time last year, I’ll be going through the tries scored, and tries conceded plots as shown in the NRL app, to see if there is anything of use in the matchups for selecting your starting side each week. Its probably appropriate that ‘heat maps’ (as described by the NRL) are included in the weather report!
Keep an eye out for these each week, underneath the full weather report.
The Weather Report
Friday 6pm: High cloud will continue to develop and thicken as the afternoon goes on, however no rainfall is expected in Newcastle for the early evening match.
Knights vs Tigers | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Newcastle 6-8pm | 0% | 15-18C | Low-mod |
Friday 8pm: Thickening cloud cover is also developing in Sydney, and no rain is expected during the late evening match, even if the radar shows that some may be falling (this is mid level rainfall, evaporating before it hits the surface). A low to moderate dew rating is expected, mainly due to the warmth of the day being kept in by the cloud cover.
Rabbitohs vs Dragons | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Homebush 8-10pm | 5% | 13-16C | Low-mod |
Saturday 3pm: It is highly likely to be fine (and partly cloudy) for the Saturday afternoon match at Parramatta, however there is a low to very low chance of a shower.
Eels vs Warriors | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Parramatta 3-5pm | 10% | 16-20C | N/A |
Saturday 5:30pm: Fine weather is expected for the early evening match at Robina, with a moderate amount of dew developing on the playing surface as the match goes on.
Titans vs Broncos | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Robina 5:30-7:30pm | 0% | 17-20C | Moderate |
Saturday 7:30pm: While most of Saturday is expected to see little in the way of showers in the Melbourne area, during the late afternoon and early evening some isolated showers are expected to develop. These will be most likely prior to the match, however one or two isolated showers may still be in the area during the match (most likely the first half).
Storm vs Sea Eagles | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Melbourne 7:30-9:30pm | 40% | 9-11C | Mod-high |
Storm vs Sea Eagles | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Melbourne 7:30-9:30pm | 15% | 9-11C | Mod-high |
Sunday 2pm: Mostly sunny skies are expected for the early afternoon match at Homebush, with game temperatures in the high teens.
Bulldogs vs Roosters | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Homebush 2-4pm | 0% | 18-20C | N/A |
Sunday 4pm: It will remain fine for the late afternoon match at Penrith.
Panthers vs Raiders | Chance of rain | Game temperature | Dew rating |
Penrith 4-6pm | 0% | 17-20C | N/A |
Heat maps
The Knights appear to score a higher percentage of their tries through the middle, which lines up with the Tigers conceding tries through the same area.
Tries most often are scored by the Rabbitohs in the middle, which lines up with the Dragons conceding tries in a similar area. Also the Dragons right side attack lines up favourably with the Rabbitohs left edge defence.
The Eels score a fair percentage of their tries through the middle, which lines up with the Warriors conceding many through a similar area.
The Titans appear to score many of their tries on the left wing, which lines up with the Broncos conceding a number of tries during this season so far in a similar area. Also, the Broncos success areas in attack line up fairly closely with the equivalent areas in the Titans defence.
Where the Bulldogs defence concedes a significant percentage of their tries, lines up fairly closely with where the Roosters have most success in scoring.
Have just updated the Melbourne match – chance of rain is now quite low! As opposed to 40% previously