Surge’s Teams Analysis – Round 2

Before we kick off Teams Analysis for this week, I want to start with this little nugget from last week’s article:

“Also, if someone in one of your leagues does accidentally select the wrong Sione Katoa, please post screenshots in the comments. That will never not be funny.”

Whether it be karma, stupidity or something else entirely, I managed to end up with the Panthers’ Sione Katoa in MY team.

I won’t bore you too much with the details, however it involved Kikau being relegated to the bench before kick-off, me looking to see if there were any viable replacements, laying down on the couch with my daughter watching “Oggy and the Cockroaches” and being distracted, and accidentally bringing Katoa in instead of Kikau.

A facepalm doesn’t do it justice. But, as I said last week, it will never not be funny – even if it did happen to me.

Onto the analysis.

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks v St George Illawarra Dragons

Thursday March 15, 8.05pm AEDT, Southern Cross Group Stadium

Sharks 1 Valentine Holmes, 2 Sosaia Feki, 3 Josh Dugan, 4 Ricky Leutele, 5 Aaron Gray, 6 Matthew Moylan, 7 Chad Townsend, 8 Andrew Fifita, 9 Jayden Brailey, 10 Matthew Prior, 11 Jayson Bukuya, 12 Wade Graham, 13 Paul Gallen (c) Interchange: 14 Kurt Capewell, 15 James Segeyaro, 16 Avagalu Seumanufagai, 17 Joseph Paulo

Reserves: 18 Kurt Dillon, 19 Trent Hodkinson, 20 Jesse Ramien, 21 Jack Williams

Dragons 1 Matthew Dufty, 2 Nene Macdonald, 3 Euan Aitken, 4 Tim Lafai, 5 Jason Nightingale, 6 Gareth Widdop (c), 7 Ben Hunt, 8 James Graham, 9 Cameron McInnes, 10 Paul Vaughan, 11 Tyson Frizell, 12 Tariq Sims, 13 Jack De Belin Interchange: 14 Luciano Leilua, 15 Kurt Mann, 16 Leeson Ah Mau, 17 Hame Sele

Reserves: 18 Jeremy Latimore, 19 Zachary Lomax, 20 Reece Robson, 21 Blake Lawrie

Analysis

Gallen is named to start (and he better!) and Aaron Gray comes in for Katoa. Fifita continued his pattern of slow starts to the season, with just 57 in 58 minutes. Val Holmes (33) was embarrassing at the back but gets another chance – I think anyone who rolled the dice with him should be concerned. So too Gallen (40 in just 45 minutes) owners. The lack of fitness excuses the low minutes, not the complete lack of impact while he was on.

The Dragons were impressive against the Broncos and they’re largely unchanged. Jack DeBelin’s try (and 79 points) obscures that he only played 59 minutes, which should be a huge concern for owners hoping for 70. Leilua’s 13 in just 21 minutes was as unimpressive as it looks – he’s bordering on 3-Palavi territory. And it’s probably time to take Gareth Widdop (106) seriously – he’s a bona fide premium gun.

  • Luciano Leilua ($177,000) 
  • Hame Sele ($212,400) 

 Sydney Roosters v Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs

Friday March 16, 6pm AEDT, Allianz Stadium

Roosters 1 James Tedesco, 2 Daniel Tupou, 3 Latrell Mitchell, 4 Joseph Manu, 5 Blake Ferguson, 6 Luke Keary, 7 Cooper Cronk, 8 Jared Waerea-Hargreaves, 9 Jake Friend (c), 10 Sio Siua Taukeiaho, 11 Boyd Cordner (c), 12 Mitchell Aubusson, 13 Isaac Liu Interchange: 14 Dylan Napa, 15 Zane Tetevano, 16 Ryan Matterson, 17 Victor Radley

Reserves: 18 Reece Robinson, 19 Mitchell Cornish, 20 Nat Butcher, 21 Lindsay Collins

Bulldogs 1 Moses Mbye, 2 Brett Morris, 3 Josh Morris, 4 Will Hopoate, 5 Marcelo Montoya, 6 Matthew Frawley, 7 Kieran Foran, 8 Aaron Woods, 9 Michael Lichaa, 10 David Klemmer, 11 Joshua Jackson (c), 12 Raymond Faitala-Mariner, 13 Danny Fualalo Interchange: 14 Adam Elliott, 15 Aiden Tolman, 16 Greg Eastwood, 17 Jeremy Marshall-King

Reserves: 19 Asipeli Fine, 20 Kerrod Holland, 21 Renouf Toomaga, 23 John Olive

Analysis

Keary’s back and Cordner starts for what was a bit of a rabble last week. Tedesco (35), Mitchell (32) and Tupou (29) owners have no choice but to stick tight and hope they turn it around but TKO (38) is a real worry, having apparently lost the goalkicking and playing only 49 minutes.

The Bulldogs punched above their weight last week but ultimately the lack of talent showed. Brett Morris (54) remains heavily try dependent and Lichaa’s (38 in 64 minutes) comeback was highly overstated. Faitala-Mariner (79) looks the goods though.

  • Jeremy Marshall-King ($204,100) 

Brisbane Broncos v North Queensland Cowboys

Friday March 16, 7.05pm AEST (8.05pm AEDT), Suncorp Stadium

Broncos 1 Darius Boyd (c), 2 Corey Oates, 3 James Roberts, 4 Jordan Kahu, 5 Jamayne Isaako, 6 Anthony Milford, 7 Kodi Nikorima, 8 Matthew Lodge, 9 Andrew McCullough, 10 Tevita Pangai Jnr, 11 Alex Glenn, 12 Matt Gillett, 13 Josh McGuire Interchange: 14 Sam Thaiday, 15 Joe Ofahengaue, 16 Korbin Sims, 17 Tom Opacic

Reserves: 18 Todd Murphy, 19 Sam Tagataese, 20 Jonus Pearson, 21 George Fai

Cowboys 1 Ben Hampton, 2 Kyle Feldt, 3 Justin O’Neill, 4 Javid Bowen, 5 Antonio Winterstein, 14 Te Maire Martin, 7 Johnathan Thurston (c), 8 Matthew Scott (c), 9 Jake Granville, 10 Jordan McLean, 11 Gavin Cooper, 12 Ethan Lowe, 13 Jason Taumalolo Interchange: 14 John Asiata, 15 Coen Hess, 16 Scott Bolton, 18 Corey Jensen

Analysis

TPJ (57 in 46 minutes) remains in the starting lineup and is looking like a gem midpricer, while McCullough is named to start. Milford (18) has some explaining to do, while Lodge’s 45 points in 57 minutes wasn’t the PPM we were all looking for.

The Cowboys mildly disappointed on the field and in SuperCoach with mostly sub-par performances. Taumalolo (66) played 53 minutes but that should be expected moving forward and JT (54) kept getting overruled by TeMarie Martin in the red zone! What’s that all about!?!

Anyone getting on Winterstein (24) because he was cheap got exactly what they paid for.

  • Jamayne Issako ($192,800) 
  • Matt Lodge ($208,900) 
  • Ben Hampton ($199,700) 

Warriors v Gold Coast Titans

Saturday March 17, 5.05pm NZ (3.05pm AEDT), Mt Smart Stadium

Warriors 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (c), 2 David Fusitua, 3 Peta Hiku, 4 Solomone Kata, 5 Ken Maumalo, 6 Blake Green, 7 Shaun Johnson, 8 James Gavet, 9 Issac Luke, 10 Adam Blair, 11 Isaiah Papali’i, 12 Tohu Harris, 13 Ligi Sao Interchange: 14 Sam Cook, 15 Leivaha Pulu, 16 Sam Lisone, 17 Bunty Afoa

Reserves: 18 Jazz Tevaga, 20 Anthony Gelling, 21 Agnatius Paasi, 22 Mason Lino

Titans 1 Michael Gordon, 2 Anthony Don, 3 Dale Copley, 4 Konrad Hurrell, 5 Phillip Sami, 6 Kane Elgey, 7 Ashley Taylor, 8 Jai Arrow, 9 Nathan Peats, 10 Leilani Latu, 11 Kevin Proctor, 12 Ryan James (c), 13 Bryce Cartwright Interchange: 14 Mitch Rein, 15 Max King, 16 Will Matthews, 17 Morgan Boyle

Reserves: 18 Keegan Hipgrave, 19 Joe Greenwood, 20 Jai Whitbread, 21 AJ Brimson

Analysis

Ligi Sao (46) keeps his starting spot, which automatically makes him better than John Palavi, given that Palavi only lasted one game in the 13 jumper. Does that make him a buy? I’d wait one more week to be sure. Papali’i (58) played 80 but needed a try for his 58, so his workrate is a big concern, as is Mannering’s return in a couple of weeks. Otherwise, the Warriors were impressive, with their guns firing – looks like another year of sucking us into the hype. Let’s hope they keep it going.

No changes for the Titans, who came back impressively against the Raiders. Is it just me or does every team play better after Jarryd Hayne leaves? Phillip Sami (64) crossed for a try and seems secure on the wing, while Cartwright’s 43 in 52 minutes is probably about what we can expect (ie: pretty mediocre cow). Leilani Latu (24 in 40 minutes) is off my Christmas card list and he should be off yours too.

  • Sam Cook ($164,600) 
  • Isaiah Papalii ($225,400) 
  • Ligi Sao ($192,800) 
  • Will Matthews ($229,000) 
  • Kane Elgey ($260,200) 
  • Phillip Sami ($234,300) 
  • Bryce Cartwright ($260,300) 

Penrith Panthers v South Sydney Rabbitohs

Saturday March 17, 5.30pm AEDT, Panthers Stadium

Panthers 1 Dylan Edwards, 2 Josh Mansour, 3 Waqa Blake, 4 Tyrone Peachey, 5 Dallin Watene-Zelezniak, 6 James Maloney, 7 Nathan Cleary, 8 James Tamou, 9 Peter Wallace (c), 10 Reagan Campbell-Gillard, 11 Viliame Kikau, 12 Isaah Yeo, 13 Trent Merrin Interchange: 14 Corey Harawira-Naera, 15 Sam McKendry, 16 Moses Leota, 17 James Fisher-Harris

Reserves: 18 Sione Katoa, 19 Tim Browne, 20 Dean Whare, 21 Christian Crichton

Rabbitohs 1 Alex Johnston, 2 Richie Kennar, 3 Dane Gagai, 4 Greg Inglis (c), 5 Robert Jennings, 6 Cody Walker, 7 Adam Doueihi, 8 Thomas Burgess, 9 Damien Cook, 10 Sam Burgess, 11 John Sutton, 12 Angus Crichton, 13 Cameron Murray Interchange: 14 Tyrell Fuimaono, 15 Mark Nicholls, 16 George Burgess, 17 Tevita Tatola

Reserves: 18 Robbie Farah, Jason Clark, 20 Hymel Hunt, Vincent Leuluai

Analysis

Kikau (87) was close to best on ground last week, so being named to start is fantastic news for those concerned that he left the field injured last week. Merrin (73) was excellent but only getting 50 minutes should have any non-owners holding off for now. Nathan Cleary (83) showed he is the most consistent gun halfback in SuperCoach – what a talent this kid is. Mansour (40) was mediocre and it really wasn’t Peachey’s fault, so owners may well be a bit nervous.

Adam Reynolds’ injury offers Adam Douehi a chance in the side and another cash cow option. It is believed to be about a four-week one, but despite being very injury prone Reynolds has a track record of coming back quickly, so buyer beware. Kennar (80) was excellent and crossed for a double, while Nicholls (27 in 41 minutes) was a bit of a plodder and is likely to be a very slow burning cow.

Cody Walker (80) got some of the junkiest junk points you’ll ever see but it all counts, while Damien Cook (67) owners chose wisely.

  • Adam Doueihi ($164,600) 
  • Mark Nicholls ($192,800) 
  • Tavita Tatola ($164,600) 
  • Richie Kennar ($239,600) 
  • Sam McKendry ($192,800) 
  • Viliame Kikau ($192,800) 

Melbourne Storm v Wests Tigers

Saturday March 17, 7.35pm AEDT, AAMI Park

Storm 1 Billy Slater, 2 Suliasi Vunivalu, 3 Will Chambers, 4 Curtis Scott, 5 Josh Addo-Carr, 6 Cameron Munster, 7 Brodie Croft, 8 Jesse Bromwich, 9 Cameron Smith (c), 10 Nelson Asofa-Solomona, 11 Felise Kaufusi, 12 Ryan Hoffman, 13 Dale Finucane Interchange: 14 Tim Glasby, 15 Kenny Bromwich, 16 Christian Welch, 17 Sam Kasiano

Reserves: 18 Young Tonumaipea, 19 Joe Stimson, 20 Billy Walters, 21 Brandon Smith

Tigers 1 Tuimoala Lolohea, 2 Corey Thompson, 3 Esan Marsters, 4 Kevin Naiqama, 5 Malakai Watene-Zelezniak, 14 Benji Marshall, 7 Luke Brooks, 8 Russell Packer, 9 Pita Godinet, 10 Ben Matulino, 11 Chris Lawrence, 12 Robbie Rochow, 13 Elijah Taylor Interchange: 14 Matt McIlwrick 15 Alex Twal, 16 Michael Chee Kam, 17 Matthew Eisenhuth

Reserves: 18 Josh Aloiai, 19 David Nofoaluma, 20 Tim Grant, 21 Tyson Gamble

Analysis

The Storm eventually rolled over the Bulldogs last week, largely thanks to Cameron Munster’s brilliance (101). Slater’s return shouldn’t impact too much on his output. NAS scoring 58 in just 34 in both cause for celebration and concern, while Jesse Bromwich (45 in 48 minutes) is playing like he’s 38, not 28.

The Tigers’ upset win means the likes of Nofoaluma, McQueen and Milne are still on the outside looking in, for now. Robbie Rochow (61) playing 80 was a surprise and catapults him into serious consideration as a buy and there’s not much else of SuperCoach relevance, really.

  • Robbie Rochow ($242,600) 
  • Pita Godinet ($216,500) 

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v Parramatta Eels

Sunday March 18, 4.10pm AEDT, Lottoland

Sea Eagles 1 Tom Trbojevic, 2 Jorge Taufua, 3 Brad Parker, 4 Brian Kelly, 5 Akuila Uate, 6 Lachlan Croker, 7 Daly Cherry-Evans (c), 8 Addin Fonua-Blake, 9 Apisai Koroisau, 10 Martin Taupau, 11 Joel Thompson, 12 Curtis Sironen, 13 Jake Trbojevic Interchange: 14 Jackson Hastings, 15 Shaun Lane, 16 Lloyd Perrett, 17 Kelepi Tanginoa

Reserves: 18 Matthew Wright, 19 Lewis Brown, 20 Jack Gosiewski, 21 Frank Winterstein

Eels 1 Bevan French, 2 Josh Hoffman, 3 Michael Jennings, 4 Jarryd Hayne, 5 Kirisome Auva’a, 6 Corey Norman, 7 Mitchell Moses, 8 Daniel Alvaro, 9 Cameron King, 10 Tim Mannah (c), 11 Manu Ma’u, 12 Tepai Moeroa, 13 Nathan Brown Interchange: 14 Beau Scott (c), 15 Brad Takairangi, 16 Suaia Matagi, 17 Kane Evans.

Reserves: 18 Will Smith, 19 Kenny Edwards, 20 David Gower, 21 Kaysa Pritchard

Analysis

Parker, Hastings and Perrett in for Wright, Brown and Winterstein isn’t much of a surprise. Tanginoa was better on field than his 43 in 47 minutes indicates but his spot in the 17 is secure, despite Perrett being named. Croker too, was better than his 23 indicates. But he’ll need to show some attacking flair to be much of a cash cow.

Alvaro’s 46 in 39 minutes was promising but owners were hoping for another 10 MPG, similar to Nathan Brown, whose 59 minutes were 5-10 short of expectations. Mitchell Moses (35) had a shocker but isn’t a write-off, given that a sin-bin and HIA in the same game won’t happen too often.

I warned you about Kane Evans last week.

  • Kelepi Tanginoa ($177,300) 
  • Lachlan Croker ($164,600) 
  • Kane Evans ($240,800) 

Canberra Raiders v Newcastle Knights

Sunday March 18, 6.30pm AEDT, GIO Stadium

Raiders 1 Jack Wighton, 2 Nick Cotric, 3 Jarrod Croker (c), 4 Joseph Leilua, 5 Jordan Rapana, 6 Blake Austin, 7 Sam Williams, 8 Iosia Soliola, 9 Siliva Havili, 10 Shannon Boyd, 11 Josh Papalii, 12 Elliott Whitehead, 13 Luke Batman Interchange: 14 Aiden Sezer, 15 Junior Paulo, 16 Dunamis Lui, 17 Charlie Gubb

Reserves: 18 Craig Garvey, 19 Michael Oldfield, 20 Royce Hunt, 21 Jack Murchie

Knights 1 Kalyn Ponga, 2 Shaun Kenny-Dowall, 3 Sione Mata’utia, 4 Tautau Moga, 5 Nathan Ross, 6 Connor Watson, 7 Mitchell Pearce (c), 8 Herman Ese’ese, 9 Slade Griffin, 10 Jacob Lillyman, 11 Lachlan Fitzgibbon, 12 Aidan Guerra, 13 Mitchell Barnett Interchange: 14 Brock Lamb, 15 Chris Heighington, 16 Jamie Buhrer (c), 17 Daniel Saifiti

Reserves: 18 Ken Sio, 19 Jacob Saifiti, 20 Daniel Levi, 21 Luke Yates

Analysis

Thank god Havili scored a try, because only getting 30 minutes is disastrous for owners – he’s now a 2-Palavi. Elliott Whitehead (67) was mightily impressive at lock but replacing Tapine on the edge makes him less appealing as a buy. The ‘Big Three’ backs, Rapana (50), Leilua (50) and Croker (21) all disappointed. The Raiders do seem like a bit of a disaster waiting to happen, especially after their utter lack of fight against the Titans.

Slade Griffin was one of the Knights’ best in their win against Manly, scoring 82 in 69 minutes. While that’s inflated by the nine minutes of extra time, owners should be happy with the 60 minutes in regulation. Connor Watson (57) owners should be content with his dual five-eighth/hooker role, as it guarantees him 80 minutes.

And get Kalyn Ponga in your team, however you can. He’s a beast.

  • Sam Williams ($255, 600) 
  • Siliva Havili ($177,300) 
  • Slade Griffin ($250, 100) 

55
Leave a Reply

Please Login to comment
18 Comment threads
37 Thread replies
2 Followers
 
Most reacted comment
Hottest comment thread
28 Comment authors
michaelHitro OkeseneJKwazzamcgTigers4life Recent comment authors
  Subscribe  
Notify of
Rich
Member
Gun
Rich

If it’s any consolation I accidentally picked Tuala from the Bulldogs instead of Fualalo (I thought not a bad pod considering he was starting) mortified when I realised – but in the end no big difference – trade out this week regardless

The wait is over #2016
Member
Gun
The wait is over #2016

Tks Surge, great write up as always!! 1 Palavi for Tanginoa gives me a little more confidence! I’ve been leaning towards trading Latu > tanginoa this wk (shouldn’t have fallen for the hype!) however the introduction of another middle forward on bench (Perrett) has me worried about mins, how do you (or anyone else) see the mins working for Manly’s forward rotation this weekend? Also re: Griffin, looked great, but Brown did come out post game admitting he probably brought Lamb on a little too late (Knights looked much better when he was out there too!), so I think his… Read more »

Canary Yellow
Member
Gun
Canary Yellow

Definitely leaning towards TPJ. If named to start I’ll probably go that way.

Cheers for the write up.

Tigers4life
Member
Gun
Tigers4life

the irony is if you picked katoa from panthers you are in a better position for the next 8 weeks haha

wazzamcg
Member
Gun
wazzamcg

Excellent review Surge – will look forward to it each week. Chuckling at Katoa……….

JK
Member
JK

Griffin or Rochow gents? Would prefer to wait a week but I need to do some corrective trades to get rid of James Graham (no idea what I was thinking with that). Cheers

Hitro Okesene
Member
Gun
Hitro Okesene

If anyone is interested, John Palavi is alive and well in France. His older brother is still running around in the reserves in NZ, I believe. But after being the backbone of the Warriors ISP side for what seemed like an eternity, John cut his losses and chased a continental pay day. Good on him.

But here is my question…

If Palavi was to return (I’m assuming it would be to much fanfare and public celebration) and made an NRL club’s starting side, how many Palavis would he be attributed? Because, by definition, he is one Palavi.

Noodle on THAT one.

michael
Member
Gun
michael

we know ponga is a beast, but having teddy and turbo as fullbacks I just have no room for him.

El Rodeo
Member
Gun
El Rodeo

Will be interesting to see how Ponga holds up to a full season of 1st grade