Players of Interest – Clint Gutherson

2018 stats – games played (19), average (47), tries (6)

2017 stats – games played (18), average (67), tries (11)

Much like the Parramatta Eels of 2019, Clint Gutherson’s (“King Gutho” as he is referred to by his loyal subjects) form fell off a cliff after a breakout year in 2017. It’s hard to put this down to any one issue – after all, his first game back from an ACL injury was Round 6, but let’s look over a few of the excuses:

  • He played in a team with the worst attack in the league
  • He crossed the stripe only 6 times and when Parramatta did miraculously nab a try and he was required to kick goals (as a backup only), but struck them poorly at 60%
  • He was shuffled around from fullback to 5/8, back to fullback and then into the centres to close out the year.

All this added up to a frustrating 2018 that never got going after a 2017 season that had him lined up as one of the premier CTW options in the competition.

In all, it was a tough season all around for the CTW position, and if you were like me and backed Gutho in as a POD option mid-year, he was only one of many disappointments.

Gutho’s BPPG was very reasonable at a shade under 30 (2017: 24) by sheer virtue of the fact that the bloke just loves running the ball. This was enough to see him ranked 18th across the CTW position for base (10+ games), but base was never the selling point for him to begin with. The alarming stat for owners is that he didn’t even make the Top 40 CTWs for average points for the year and was a mile off the pack in attacking stats after being one of the most potent in 2017.

So what’s changed about him for 2019? Well…:

  • He’ll be starting afresh with a full pre-season under the belt training at fullback
  • Parra are likely to slot rookie Jaeman Salmon into the halves which should see Gutho commanding more of the ball (where he was sharing this with the likes of Hayne, Moses and Norman in a very clunky 2018 attack).
  • He’ll have the chance to link at the back with star recruit Blake Ferguson
  • The distraction that is Jarryd Hayne is no longer floating around the club
  • He starts the year off at a very reasonably-priced $439,300. A year ago while his throne was golden and shiny he was nudging $600k.

If you’re going to back Gutho to return to the form of 2017, you’re also unfortunately going to need to back Parramatta to click and drag themselves off the canvas. Who’s brave (or stupid) enough? There’s only one direction that both Gutho and Parramatta can take. He won me over in 2017 and like a bad ex, you sometimes can’t resist going back despite the risk. But this time, it’ll be different…

2019: The Return of the King!

Justin

North Queenslander born and bred, Justin is also very much a Cowboys tragic. Rumours have it that his first born son will be named Thurston.

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Tommy
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Sleeper

Thanks Justin.

Stebbo
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Keeper
Stebbo

If Gutho just passes the ball to me all will be sweet as.

WoolyScore
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WoolyScore

Gutho won’t be entering my team until he gets the goalkicking back. That looks unlikely while moses is around. That was +12pts he had on his 2017 scores.

billy
Member
billy

Avg 48 at FB last year. 58 if you take out first four games where coming back from injury and getting confidence. His scores improve to 60,60,73,42,41,39,95 in that run from round 10. Had 3 tries and 3 TS in there. I’m not really liking a score of 60 with LBA ts and try for a massive 23 points in 17 points hit ups 8 tackles and -6 errors. His Tbs and offloads have gone. I had massive wraps on him in 2016 and chucked a fair bit on him at 100-1 for leading points scorer. Beat his drum heavily… Read more »

Stebbo
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Keeper
Stebbo

Good info @2602 . I liked the look of Holland last year in the games I saw. Few good offloads for try assists etc. Might do a bit of a rejig and see if I can squeeze him in. Guth will surely get more of the ball than Holland if he gets the FB position though? You’d take Holland over him for similar price? Holland $428 and Guth $439….

billy
Member
billy

Yeah, I love Guth but I can’t ignore stats. He looked terrible last year and even though he’ll have more opportunities with kick returns, he doesn’t have kicking and I like the extra base the holland will get in tackles at centre instead of wing. I went back to 2017 as well and Holland just knows how to find the line. Bringing him one further in from the edge makes it worth a stab for me. Plus I like the 9 dual. It’s hard hole to plug and I’m now looking at Cotric. Wasn’t even considering him until 2 hrs… Read more »

A Flock Of Sea Eagles
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Gun
A Flock Of Sea Eagles

There’s a reason why Cotric didn’t have any attacking and creative stats from FB last season – it’s because he lacks the ability. Gutho’s upside is far greater considering he’s going to get more opportunities with the ball, he’s a better playmaker, support runner, will potentially have the GK duties, and is more active in general. I really don’t see any sense in picking Cotric over him.

But that’s just my take. GL for the season.

billy
Member
billy

if guth gets the kicking i’ll tentatively pencil him in but his strike rate is abysmal and he looks a fraction of his old self. same as brown. massive potential but just doesn’t seem to get balls away anymore. stuck on 60 base and NFI if he’ll get 80 mins which is the SC killer

A Flock Of Sea Eagles
Member
Gun
A Flock Of Sea Eagles

As you know, he didn’t have a full preseason last year, was shuffled throughout the backline as a remedy for the Eels’ attacking woes when he was still trying to adjust to the pace of the game, and had to deal with other players wanting the ball in their hands. He won’t have any of those issues to contend with this season. And while he’s not the most reliable kicker, he still averaged 9-10 points from the boot in 2017.

At 430k, there’s very little risk considering his upside, which you especially need in CTW.

billy
Member
billy

Yeah I’ve looked his numbers again and you’re right. A case of looking way too hard for POD’s. It’s probably the best way to ruin a season instead of just going with what you know and proven guys at their average like Jurbo. I think the removal of attacking conflict and him just being the one bloke out the back they’re looking for increases the appeal. I’ll watch trials but sense says to take the proven performer. Thanks for the head alignment. Not often anyone sways me from stubborn opinion but you make valid points. Cheers

Sarge
Member
Keeper
Sarge

This isn’t true at all. Cotric’s natural position is fullback. That’s what he played through the Junior Leagues and for the Australian Schoolboys.