Wenin is out of action this week so he has nominated me to step into the role of teams analysis man for the week. Would you believe he is in Mexico for a buck’s party….seriously? Only the super-elite rich boys of the private GPS schools in Brisbane would have a buck’s party in Mexico, whilst the true league fans like myself, JT, Stilesy, Daniel, Serc, Carlos and Wilfred remain at NRL SC Talk HQ to keep the content coming for the fans. I was drinking black rats on Moreton Island for my buck’s party for god’s sake! Did you also know he is really from Melbourne originally and grew up an AFL fan?
Anyways enough Wenin bashing, onto the Round 7 teams! This will be a bit briefer than normal – you will hear me on 2 podcasts this week as well as read me here, so my opinions on players will be well known this week.
Roosters v Dragons, Thu 25 Apr, SCG, 4.05pm
Roosters: 1. James Tedesco, 2. Daniel Tupou, 3. Mitchell Aubusson, 4. Joseph Manu, 5. Matt Ikuvalu, 6. Latrell Mitchell, 7. Cooper Cronk, 8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves, 9. Jake Friend, 10. Sio Siua Taukeiaho, 11. Boyd Cordner (c), 12. Angus Crichton, 13. Victor Radley
Interchange: 14. Nat Butcher, 15. Zane Tetevano, 16. Sitili Tupouniua, 17. Lachlan Lam Reserves: 18. Lindsay Collins, 19. Poasa Faamausili, 20. Brock Lamb, 21. Sam Verrills
Team news: Luke Keary is out with concussion, with Latrell named to start in the halves (maybe don’t trade him in just yet). Jake Friend is back which will be welcome news for owners, with Radley shifting back to Lock and Zane Tetevano back to the bench. AuboGUN starts in the centres.
Analysis: The Roosters don’t play Round 12. Latrell ($556k, BE 8) is of most interest in this side, with a season average now of 60 – although he has been named in the halves this week. That is enough for me to stay away, especially as he is a walk-up starter for NSW. Crichton ($567k, BE 92) is a stay away for me with the high BE and origin selection looming also – there are other options at a similar price and SC output who play Round 12.
Dragons: 1. Matt Dufty 2. Jordan Pereira 3. Euan Aitken 4. Tim Lafai 5. Mikaele Ravalawa 6. Corey Norman 7. Ben Hunt 8. James Graham 9. Cameron McInnes 10. Paul Vaughan 11. Tyson Frizell 12. Tariq Sims 13. Blake Lawrie
Interchange: 14. Jeremy Latimore 15. Zac Lomax, 16. Jacob Host, 17. Luciano Leilua Reserves: 18. Mitchell Allgood 19. Jai Field 20. Lachlan Timm 21. Jonas Pearson
Team news: No changes.
Analysis: The Dragons don’t play Round 12. Ravalawa ($350k, BE 32) has made you $182k and can now move on at any stage, he has done a great job. Presuming you have Xerri already an upgrade to a fallen keeper is well and truly on the cards this week. If you don’t have Xerri then make that move. Vaughan ($541k, BE 72) is averaging 62 this year and a genuine FRF keeper, but also in the mix for NSW selection. Bunt ($559k, BE -24) anyone?
Storm v Warriors, Thu 25 Apr, AAMI Park, 7.50pm
Storm: 1. Jahrome Hughes 2. Suliasi Vunivalu 3. Will Chambers 4. Curtis Scott, 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Cameron Munster 7. Brodie Croft 8. Jesse Bromwich 9. Cameron Smith 10. Nelson Asofa-Solomona 11. Felise Kaufusi 12. Kenneath Bromwich 13. Dale Finucane
Interchange: 14. Brandon Smith 15. Christian Welch 16. Tui Kamikamica 17. Marion Seve Reserves: 18. Patrick Kaufusi 19. Billy Walters 20. Albert Vete 21. Ryan Papenhuyzen
Team news: No changes just an irrelevant change in the #21 jersey.
Analysis: The Storm don’t play Round 12. Smith ($570k, BE 59) has a season average of 62 and will be my first trade made in Round 13 without a doubt. Munster ($584k, BE 82) owners are facing a tough decision in the next few weeks – do they hold him through the bye period, or sell? The sell options of non-Origin halves who play Round 12 are limited, although if Cody Walker drops in price he could be worth a look. With a season average of 68 though Munster is a genuine keeprer for the year, so it might be worth just holding him through.
Warriors: 1 Roger Tuivasa-Sheck (c) 2 Gerard Beale 3 Peta Hiku 4 Solomone Kata 5 Ken Maumalo 6 Chanel Harris-Tavita 7 Blake Green 8 Agnatius Paasi 9 Issac Luke 10 Leeson Ah Mau 11 Adam Blair 12 Tohu Harris 13 Lachlan Burr
Interchange: 14 Jazz Tevaga 15 Isaiah Papali’i 16 Bunty Afoa 17 Nathaniel Roache Reserves: 18 Hayze Perham 20 Leivaha Pulu 21 Patrick Herbert 22 Chris Satae
Team news: Some interesting stuff happening at the Warriors this week leading into their biggest regular season game of the season. Blake Green may return (who knows, he is named), pushing Hiku back to the centres. Fusitu’a is out due to injury with Beale sliding out to the Wing in his place. RTS is in some doubt with a hamstring injury but Kearney has declared him a certain starter – let’s hope he’s not pulling our leg!
Analysis: The Warriors don’t play Round 12. RTS ($643k, BE 53) was going to be my trade-in for Garner this week, however this hamstring news has me re-considering. Let’s wait and see if some more info comes out later in the week, but he has been electric so far in 2019. That try he scored on the weekend – WOW! There is no need to sell Burr ($421k, BE -20) anytime soon, and CHT ($265k, BE -20) should make it past $350k also hopefully. Tohu ($575k, BE 48) has a season average of 63 and has gone under the radar this year, but is looming as a Round 13 trade-in option.
Bulldogs v Cowboys, Fri 26 Apr, ANZ Stadium, 6.00pm
Bulldogs: 1. Nick Meaney 2. Jayden Okunbor 3. Kerrod Holland 4. Will Hopoate 5. Reimis Smith 6. Jack Cogger 7. Lachlan Lewis 8. Aiden Tolman 9. Jeremy Marshall-King 10. Ofahiki Ogden 11. Josh Jackson 12. Corey Harawira-Naera 13. Rhyse Martin
Interchange: 14. Michael Lichaa 15. Danny Fualalo 16. Adam Elliot 17. Chris Smith Reserves: 19. Christian Chrichton 20. Marcelo Montoya 21. Fa’amanu Brown 22. Renouf Toomaga
Team news: The Martin / Elliot shift has been done again however it remains to be seen if this is how they line up to run out. No other changes.
Analysis: The Bulldogs play Round 12. Okunbor ($329k, BE 48) has had a couple of tough weeks, however he has made the cash. The decision to hold through Round 12 or sell is an interesting one – I am leaning towards selling in the next week or so, however the crop of cheapies coming through (outside of Haas) has dropped away, so a downgrade or upgrade (by using the cash generated from a downgrade elsewhere) could be difficult. I don’t think he is a must hold to Round 12 though. Tolman ($506k, BE 60) is an option for Round 12, whilst Martin ($593k, BE 102) is a wait and see, trade him in as close to Round 12 as possible as who knows what Pay will do with him this season.
Cowboys: 1. Te Maire Martin, 2. Justin O’Neill 3. Jordan Kahu, 4. Enari Tuala 5. Ben Hampton 6. Jake Clifford, 7. Michael Morgan 8. Matt Scott 9. Jake Granville 10. Jordan McLean 11. Gavin Cooper 12. Josh McGuire 13. John Asiata
Interchange: 14. Kurt Baptiste 15. Coen Hess 16. Scott Bolton 17. Francis Molo Reserves: 18. Corey Jensen 19. Tom Opacic 20. Jason Taumalolo 21. Mitchell Dunn
Team news: No changes to the 17, however a half decent player has been named in the #20 jersey to potentially return, if not this week it is looking likely next week.
Analysis: The Cowboys play Round 12. McGuire ($530k, BE 36) has been huge in recent weeks, but the return of Lolo will put a stop to that along with Origin selection. Morgan ($480k, BE 62) has a season average of 56 so he has been ok, but nothing spectacular. Not much else doing at the Cowboys until Lolo returns.
Panthers v Rabbitohs, Fri 26 Apr, Panthers Stadium, 7.55pm
Panthers: 1. Caleb Aekins 2. Josh Mansour, 3. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 4. Waqa Blake 5. Malakai Watene-Zelezniak 6. James Maloney 7. Nathan Cleary 8. James Tamou 9. Wayde Egan 10. Tim Grant 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Isaah Yeo 13. James Fisher-Harris.
Interchange: 14. Sione Katoa, 15. Liam Martin 16. Moses Leota 17. Reagan Campbell-Gillard Reserves: 18. Jarome Luai 19. Kaide Ellis 20. Dylan Edwards 21. Tyrell Fuimaono
Team news: Whare is out due to injury, and surprisingly DWZ will shift down to centre. Instead of recalling Dylan Edwards to start at Fullback the Panthers have gone with Aekins. More likely than not he won’t be there in Round 12 with Whare only out 2-4 weeks.
Analysis: The Panthers play Round 12. Cleary ($546k, BE 9) has really found form in recent weeks and is firming as a must have, although he will likely play Origin for NSW. JFH ($576k, BE 38) is worth a look also as he continues to play 80 minutes per week and gives you the Round 12 coverage. Kikau ($549k, BE 72) remains on my watchlist but I’m not bringing him in just yet, another I am waiting until as close to Round 12 as possible to get on. Aekins ($217k) would be a great cheapie option as he is available in the CTW, however he needs to hold his spot for more than 3 weeks, and Whare should be well and truly back within 4 weeks. Played 1 game last year for 58 – would it be crazy to get Ravalawa to him this week and try and nab his points for the next 2-3 weeks? Probably.
Rabbitohs: 1. Alex Johnston 2. Corey Allan 3. Kyle Turner 4. Dane Gagai 5. Campbell Graham 6. Cody Walker 7. Adam Reynolds 8. George Burgess 9. Damien Cook 10. Tom Burgess 11. John Sutton 12. Sam Burgess 13. Cameron Murray
Interchange: 14. Tevita Tatola 15. Mark Nicholls 16. Ethan Lowe 17. Liam Knight Reserves: 18. Bayley Sironen 19. Connor Tracey 20. Dean Britt 21. Mawene Hiroti
Team news: No changes.
Analysis: The Rabbits play Round 12. Allan ($221k, BE 6) will finally see some decent rises over the next few weeks and be good cover for Round 12. Burgess ($597k, BE 93) and Murray $544k, BE 70) are looming both as must haves for the Round 12 bye. Anyone who didn’t start with Cook ($695k, BE 54, season average 76) – what were you thinking? Reynolds ($479k, BE 64) is averaging 57 this year however is pretty cheap and good be a sneaky bye period purchase – keep an eye on him, maybe a CHT to Reynolds trade in a couple of weeks could be on the cards. Walker ($701k, BE 29) is too expensive currently to be considered but maybe he drops by Round 12.
Wests Tigers v Titans, Sat 27 Apr, Scully Park, 5.30pm
Wests Tigers: 1. Moses Mbye 2. Mahe Fonua 3. Robert Jennings 4. Esan Marsters 5. Corey Thompson 6. Josh Reynolds 7. Luke Brooks 8. Russell Packer 9. Robbie Farah 10. Alex Twal 11. Ryan Matterson 12. Luke Garner 13. Josh Aloiai
Interchange: 14. Ben Matulino 15. Thomas Mikaele 16. Matthew Eisenhuth 17. Michael Chee-Kam Reserves: 18. Paul Momirovski 19. Elijah Taylor 20. David Nofoaluma 21. Chris McQueen
Team News: No changes, however Garner and Farah are in concussion protocol and will have to clear that to take their place in the side. We will find out more about this later in the week.
Analysis: The Tigers don’t play Round 12. Farah ($553k, BE 115) owners can consider themselves unlucky after he suffered an early HIA in Round 6 and only scored 6 points. Cook + Smith remains the most desired HOK combo again this year, but Farah is still averaging 69 for the year even with that 6 in his score. Garner ($374k, BE 22) will be a sell this week or next after that 80 rolls out of his average – I for one will be upgrading this week. Marsters ($548k, BE 71) scored 51 in a well between team, for an outside back that is a great score. He remains a CTW keeper.
Titans: 1. Michael Gordon 2. Anthony Don 3. Tyrone Peachey 4. Brian Kelly 5. Dale Copley 6. Tyrone Roberts 7. Ashley Taylor 8. Shannon Boyd 9. Mitch Rein 10. Moeaki Fotuaika 11. Kevin Proctor 12. Bryce Cartwright 13. Jai Arrow
Interchange: 14. Phillip Sami 15. Keegan Hipgrave 16. Max King 17. Jai Whitbread Reserves: 18. Jack Stockwell 19. Will Matthews 20. Jesse Arthars 21. Ryley Jacks
Team news: Ryan James is out for the year with an ACL injury, however it wont be cheapie Whitbread who starts but rather Fotuaika who gets the nod. Proctor is back after being a late out in Round 6, with Stockwell dropping back to the Reserves.
Analysis: The Titans play Round 12. Whitbread ($181k, BE -21) would have be a must have had he been named to start, but even coming off the bench I expect him to average 35-40 and make some good cash over the next few weeks. Maybe without those large scores that can lead to the really big jumps. Arrow ($547k, BE 82) remains a hold in my opinion, however he is becoming more and more frustrating every week. Kelly ($527k, BE 79) is worth a looking leading into Round 12, with some solid scores this year including strong base numbers. Peachey ($381k, BE 15) is very cheap (dropped $71k so far) and could be a Round 12 POD after he has posted back to back solid scores. Tricky price though. I refuse to acknowledge Cartwright.
Broncos v Sharks, Sat 27 Apr, Suncorp Stadium, 7.35pm
Broncos: 1. Darius Boyd 2. Corey Oates 3. James Roberts 4. Jack Bird 5. Jamayne Isaako 6. Anthony Milford 7. Kodi Nikorima 8. Payne Haas 9. Andrew McCullough 10. Joe Ofahengaue 11. Alex Glenn 12. Matt Gillett 13. Tevita Pangai Jnr
Interchange: 14. Kotoni Staggs 15. David Fifita 16. Thomas Flegler 17. Patrick Carrigan Reserves: 18. Jaydn Su’A 19. Gehamat Shibasaki 20. Tom Dearden 21. Matthew Lodge
Team news: Roberts is in for Staggs who drops back to the #14 jersey. TPJ is back which means Flegler’s one week dalliance with the starting side has ended, however in good news for Haas, Lodge is only named in the extended reserves at is still not a confirmed starter (however obviously could be a late inclusion). Su’a drops out of the 17 to make way for TPJ.
Analysis: The Broncos don’t play Round 12. Haas ($181k, BE -89) – must have. Flegler ($245k, BE 8) is a sell prior to Round 12, however he hasn’t made as much as we would’ve hoped – I think we would’ve been better off just starting with Haas as he will be worth more than Flegler after this week. TPJ is the only Broncos player priced at over $500k – the rest of them are pretty much meh, especially without the early bye coverage. Oates has come crashing back to earth, whilst Bird has made owners some cash which is nice, but he is not a keeper and can be sold prior to Round 12.
Sharks: 1. William Kennedy 2. Sosaia Feki 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Josh Morris 5. Josh Dugan 6. Shaun Johnson 7. Chad Townsend 8. Andrew Fifita 9. Jayden Brailey 10. Matt Prior 11. Scott Sorensen 12. Kurt Capewell 13. Paul Gallen (C)
Interchange: 14. Blayke Brailey 15. Jayson Bukuya 16. Jack Williams 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele Reserves: 18. Ronaldo Mulitalo 19. Kyle Flanagan 20. Sione Katoa 21. Billy Magoulias
Team news: Nikora has accepted a 1 match ban and is replaced in the site by Sorensen, with Bukuya taking his spot on the bench. No other changes.
Analysis: The Sharks don’t play Round 12. Xerri ($236k, BE -20) holds his spot in the centres and should increase by at least $50k or so again this week, maybe more. Another who will be peaking just in time for the bye. Capewell ($509k, BE 19) has been very impressive and done some great work for owners, he’s not a buy at this price surely but I would be holding him as a CTW keeper if I had him, well done to those who do. Special shout out to Fifita ($637k, BE 54) for a huge performance and playing through injury to get the Sharks the win – well done! We salute you. He is obviously a season long hold in the FRF.
Sea Eagles v Raiders, Sun 28 Apr, Lottoland, 2.00pm
Sea Eagles: 1. Brendan Elliot, 2. Jorge Taufua, 3. Moses Suli, 4. Brad Parker, 5. Reuben Garrick, 6. Kane Elgey, 7. Daly Cherry-Evans (C), 8. Toafofoa Sipley, 9. Api Koroisau, 10. Martin Taupau, 11. Joel Thompson, 12. Curtis Sironen, 13. Jake Trbojevic.
Interchange: 14. Manase Fainu, 15. Jack Gosiewski, 16. Corey Waddell, 17. Morgan Boyle Reserves: 18. Kelepi Tanginoa , 19. Sam Smith, 20 Lachlan Croker, 21 Taniela Paseka
Team news: No changes, with AFB still suspended for 1 more week.
Analysis: The Sea Eagles play Round 12. Waddell ($252k, BE -36) has been great so far and had a huge 77 point game in Round 6, and will make more cash over the next few weeks. He is a hold for now in the hope that with Jurbo gone for Origin and maybe another injury or suspension he could nab you 50 super valuable points in Round 12. Anyone still with Garrick ($291k, BE 34) should cut and run now. Taupau ($539k, BE 84) is one I will be looking to bring in prior to Round 12, but not yet. He is very frustrating to own and part of me wants to just let him go, but he will be valuable in that bye round. DCE ($689k, BE 70) is having a HUGE year so far.
Raiders: 1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Nick Cotric 3. Jarrod Croker (c) 4. Joey Leilua 5. Jordan Rapana 6. Jack Wighton 7. Sam Williams 8. Josh Papalii 9. Josh Hodgson 10. Dunamis Lui 11. John Bateman 12. Elliott Whitehead 13. Ryan Sutton
Interchange: 14. Siliva Havili 15. Emre Guler 16. Sia Soliola 17. Jack Murchie Reserves: 18. Aidan Sezer 19. Bailey Simonsson 20. JJ Collins 21. Hudson Young
Team news: CNK had been named but remains in doubt with a knee injury, and playing in a Sunday game is not ideal for owners. A couple of minor, irrelevant changes on the bench.
Analysis: The Raiders play Round 12. BJ ($518k, BE 23) is a real option for those with big kahunas this week – season average of 60 with only 1 score under 50, he is scoring very similar to Marsters but for $30k less with Round 12 bye coverage….are you man enough to do it? Let’s all hope CNK ($514k, BE 59) comes up and plays this week as he could be in for a good score against Manly. In my opinion, Rapana ($532k, BE 103) is a no go – unlike BJ he only has 1 score OVER 50 (a huge 114) and 4 scores under 50. Not what I like in my side no matter how cheap he is come Round 12.
Knights v Eels, Sun 28 Apr, McDonald Jones Stadium, 4.05pm
Knights: 1. Kalyn Ponga 2. Edrick Lee 3. Hymel Hunt 4. Jesse Ramien 5. Shaun Kenny-Dowall 6. Connor Watson 7. Mitchell Pearce 8. David Klemmer 9. Danny Levi 10.James Gavet 11. Lachlan Fitzgibbon 12. Mitchell Barnett 13. Tim Glasby
Interchange: 14. Jamie Buhrer 15. Herman Ese’ese 16. Daniel Saifiti 17. Josh King Reserves: 18. Mason Lino 19. Tautau Moga 20. Sione Mata’utia 21. Pasami Saulo
Team news: No changes.
Analysis: The Knights don’t play Round 12. Could Barnett ($489k, BE 9) be worth a look with the injury in Round 5 to Guerra? After averaging about 40 minutes in Rounds 1-4 he has played the full 80 minutes each of the last 2 weeks for scores of 95 and 64. Tough to ignore but a risky pick. Fitz ($455k, BE 74) has to go with a season average of 44 – he will bottom out at around $420k, but even at that cheap price the output is just not there to warrant the selection. Watson ($423k, BE 52) has dropped a huge $113k, and if he played Round 12 could be a POD option. Klemmer ($606k, BE 59) is averaging 70 and continues to have a huge year – if you grab him now you will get 5 good weeks out of him before the bye – a similar move to a Marsters type trade. I will be tossing up between the 2 of them this week.
Eels: 1. Clinton Gutherson (c) 2. Maika Sivo 3. Michael Jennings 4. Brad Takairangi 5. Blake Ferguson 6. Jaeman Salmon 7. Mitch Moses 8. Daniel Alvaro 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Junior Paulo 11. Shaun Lane 12. Marata Niukore 13. Tepai Moeroa
Interchange: 14. Peni Terepo 15. Tim Mannah (c) 16. Oregon Kaufusi 17. Ray Stone Reserves: 18. Manu Ma’u 19. Kane Evans 20. Josh Hoffman 21. George Jennings
Team news: Fergo is back and slots straight back in for Hoffman who was solid enough against the Tigers in Round 6. Moeroa has been named to start after coming off the bench last week. Alvaro remains in concussion protocol but given the 6 day turnaround you would think he is good to go.
Analysis: The Eels play Round 12. What a performance on Monday afternoon by the Eels, and they do play Round 12 so there are some options to look at here. Gutho ($608k, BE 71) – what more do you need to see? He is a CTW keeper – although the Origin buzz is starting. Hose it down people, hose it down! Moses ($547k, BE 17) has 2 tonnes in his last 3 weeks, combing with 3 other scores under 50. He is up $164k on his starting price and at that level, in my opinion, he’s too expensive to jump on. Mahoney ($439k, BE 15) to Smith in Round 13 – lock it in! Lane ($484k, BE 23) is a hold for owners and will be valuable in Round 12 if the attacking stats come – very nice game from him in Round 6 – Ma’u is lurking on the extended bench though. Sivo ($364k, BE 17) is the one that got away for me – I went Simmonson instead…. Hope Sivo’s calf is ok – jeezus!
Ok guys that’s it for this week, hope that was useful. Thankfully Wenin will be back next week.