Lakeys’ Week 2 NFL Fantasy Primer

Week one is in the books and now is the time when you look at your team and ask yourself “what the hell was I thinking?”. It’s easy to do, and concern will be setting in after a few of the NFL’s studs underperformed to open the year. But if there’s one thing I’ve learnt in my years of playing, it’s this: don’t panic; don’t over-react.

For instance, it was abandon-ship on all things Todd Gurley II during the preseason and while he started slowly, a stat line of 97 yards on 14 carries isn’t anything to be sneezed at. In comparison, Aaron Jones totalled 39 yards from 13 carries, but I wouldn’t be worried about that either. Running backs don’t usually fare too well against the Chicago Bears defence. Last year, they allowed an NFL least 80 rush yards per game.

On the other hand, Dante Pettis was a hot name during the preseason but there were also some worrying rumours floating around. And then he totalled just 2 snaps all game. Not catches. Not targets. Snaps. 2 plays he was on the field for. That one is a worry.

And then there’s Lamar Jackson. He was a monster in week one (like 17/20 completions, 324 yards, 5 touchdowns and a perfect passer rating good) and his Baltimore Ravens embarrassed the Dolphins 59-10. The beating was so bad that reports surfaced post-game about “several Dolphins players” contacting their agents to demand a trade. But a couple of things about that. We already knew the Dolphins would be bad. Maybe not that bad, but still bad. And the Ravens have a history of doing this in week 1.

In saying that, Lamar could be a solid start over the next month of football. The Ravens next four opponents are Arizona, Kansas City, Cleveland and Pittsburgh. In week 1, those defences gave up 1356 passing yards, 67% completions, 12 TDs while recording only 1 interception. On that note…

START / SIT

  • Tom Brady, QB, New England – After what I just said about the Dolphins, plus the way he dismantled Pittsburgh, how could you not start Brady?
  • Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta – As an Eagles fan, I’m always extremely nervous when our defence comes up against a premier passing offence. Keenum torched us last week, in the first half anyway. I’d start Ryan.
  • Andy Dalton, QB, Cincinnati – He had a career day in a loss to the Seahawks, but faces ex-Hawk Richard Sherman and a 49ers D that gave Jamies Winston fits. Sit him if you’ve got other options.
  • Matt Breida, RB, San Francisco – Matt could also feature below as a waiver pickup, so if he’s not rostered, keep that in mind. He’ll now start for the 9ers with Coleman and McKinnon both out for the foreseeable future and he should start for you too.
  • Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay – Despite not panicking on Jones, I think he’s a sit against a tough Vikings team.
  • Tyrell Williams, WR, Oakland – TyWill jumped to WR1 in Gruden’s offence after the other clown finally got released. And he didn’t disappoint. The Chiefs also allowed DJ Chark, Chris Conley and Dede Westbrook many catches, yards and TDs. Must-start.
  • Philip Dorsett, WR, New England – If AB remains out, then Dorsett is a must-start. He just had 95 yards and 2 TDs on Pittsburgh. Now plays Miami. But only if AB is out.
  • Stefon Diggs, WR, Minnesota – You can’t really sit Diggs if you got him, but it’s likely to be a very tough afternoon for him against Chicago.
  • Evan Engram, TE, New York – Engram showed exactly what he can do as essentially the first-choice receiver and now plays the Bills. He’s a start.
  • Darren Waller, TE, Oakland – Anyone who watches “Hard Knocks’ will be familiar with Waller. And if you’re not, just ask Catfish about him. He’s in love. Start.

WAIVER WIRE PICKUPS

Waivers from last weekend should start clearing on this afternoon, or Thursday if you’ve got a late setup. The following is a quick hit of some of the players I would be targeting if they’re available to you.

  • DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia – The concern was whether DJax and Wentz would have had the time to develop the required chemistry for him to be a weapon from the get-go. He answered that with two-50+ yard TDs. So, I guess it’s a yes.
  • john Ross III, WR, Cincinnati – Another WR who showed out. 7 catches, 158 yards, 2 TDs. Ross is a former first round pick and the Bengals have just been waiting for him to break out. This could be it.
  • Chris Thompson, RB, Washington – Derrius Guice hurt his other knee and will now miss “a couple of games”. So, not only will AP get a recall, but Thompson should see a bigger workload.
  • TJ Hockenson, TE, Detroit – TJ Gronkenson more like. He’s already garnering some huge comparisons. Get him before it’s too late.
  • Austin Ekeler, RB, LA Chargers – This guy did Melvin Gordon no favours in his holdout for a bigger contract. Kind of like how James Connor exploded on the scene in Pittsburgh last year.
  • Jacoby Brissett, QB, Indianapolis – In the same game, Brissett looked pretty good in Andrew Luck’s old gig. There are worse options at (backup) Quarterback.
  • Mecole Hardman, WR, Kansas City – When the offseason Tyreek Hill scandal was in full force, the Chiefs drafted a rookie replica. And now Hill has a dislocated clavicle which will see him miss games. So sad for him.

Dream Team

We saw some big first up scores in Dream Team thanks to Lamar’s day, along with Mahomes, Watson and Wentz. It’s nice to get that initial leg up, but as I keep saying, don’t panic if you started elsewhere. There are still 16 weeks to go.

With 24 trades available to us, I’d lean towards using two if you need to fix up your team. But then only if you’ve made glaring mistakes. Anything can happen in a week, and you’ve got another chance yet to look at the guys you’ve missed before prices change.

But by all means, make those trades if you got guys like Tyreek Hill, Derrius Guice, Joe Mixon, Nick Foles, etc. Basically, anyone on the injury reports who might be looking at a couple of weeks on the sideline.

Guys I’d be looking at are Marquise Brown (WR, $3.4M), Gardner Minshew (QB, $2.6M), Hockenson (TE, $3.8M), Malcolm Brown (RB, $2.8M), Devin Singletary (RB, $2.6M), Terry McLaurin (WR, $2.6M).

P.S. what was it I said in the preseason about the Antonio Brown show??

WeninRome

Wenin is one of the founding fathers of the NRLSCTalk website who's Tuesday Teams Analysis has been a feature post on the site for close to a decade. He also loves a good steak bet!

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Magpies4Eva007

Hi guys! Seeking some advice on Kamara and Ju Ju moving forward.
I could trade Kamara to Zeke and Ju Ju to Jones but are they sideways trades or do the injuries to their respective QB’s justify the trades?
Another question – do we still see Chicago as being the number 1 defence at years end? Tempted to trade to Pats for their upcoming favourable matchups.
Appreciate any feedback or advice.
Cheers!

Semisonic

Defenses are up and down so don’t chase Pats on their score last week. From this point on, I think they’ll level out. I’m not supremely worried about those studs and their QB situation. Kamara will still see plenty of work, and it wasn’t Brees that was feeding him the ball. The offense may not be on field as much with Teddy B running the show but Kamara will still eat I think. JuJu would be affected more but even then, Mason supposedly has a cannon and no fear. He’s been likened to Foles for his willingness to launch downfield.… Read more »

Magpies4Eva007

Cheers Semi, much appreciated!

Stebbo

What about Davante Adams? Beeen a bit flat……?

Time For Plan B

Whole Packers offence has been a bit flat. I have both him and Aaron Rodgers, but I think holding strong is the best way forward. They’ve had to go up against 2 potential Top 5 defences (Top 10 at worst). Again, this week I’m not expecting much against the Broncos defence who are pretty good. They don’t really face an easy defence until Week 6/7. I’d hold strong, he is Rodgers main target, and if he has to throw it, Adams will be his first read every time.

BALLS DEEP

Of course the jags d have a field day when I’m against them haha

Magpies4Eva007

Antonio Brown released by Patriots

SADragon

Reckon he is done and dusted for the season now. No club will pick him up after the commission said he would not be placed on the exempt list until he signs with another club.

SADragon

Some injury reports. S Barkley [ankle] 4-8 weeks [ouch] AJ Green Out for GW 4 [ankle] J Edelman [chest/ribs] monitor later in the week. D Jackson [calf] Monitor but expected to miss GW4. S Darnold Expected to return GW6. A Jeffrey [calf] Monitor later in the week] Has the early game. C Newton[foot] Out GW4. TY Hilton [Quadriceps] Monitor, is the same injury he just returned from.

Kennedy

Loving these major injury updates Geoff. You pipped me in H2H in todays game because McLaurin is turning into a bit of a beast

SADragon

They like him a lot. Hardman [WR] is another if you need one. Rises next week.

SADragon

Couple of others, not really SC relevant. V McDonald [shoulder sprain] out GW4, A Hurnes [concussion] released from hospital Tuesday, Doubtful, monitor. and D Njoku [broken wrist] will not have surgery in the hope of returning this season.

SADragon

Before the injuries, Melvin Gordon is reported to be ending his holdout on Thursday, not expected to play until GW5 so would be an idea to keep an eye on him next few weeks. Injuries… E Sanders [quadriceps] limited practise so far, monitor later in the week. M Williams [back] monitor later in week, P Mahomes [ankle] FULL PRACTISE.[yay] L McCoy [ankle] limited practise monitor, J Graham [groin/quadriceps] limited practise monitor. A Cooper [ankle] Limited practise MRI scan came back fine, monitor. C Ridley [hip]limited practise monitor, J Edelman [chest]monitor but expected to play.
M Andrews [foot] monitor.

BALLS DEEP

Jags last week and Pats this week fml. I get no luck in h2h in this game.

Need 20 from JuJu to go 4-0 in draft though.

Watching the replay of my dawgs flogging the rat birds and moving to the top of the division to ease the pain!

SADragon

Opposite for me, getting towelled in the draft games but somehow jag a win in fantasy even when I stuff up and leave Chubb on the bench after a team shuffle.

Time For Plan B

Does anyone have the formula for working out a players BE? Trying to work out when to sell my guys.

SADragon

Injury report. John Ross [shoulder] is expected to miss the next 4 games. J Connor [ankle] Reports he will be training this week and playing GW5, Golden Tate has been activated [can play] after serving his suspension. Albert Wilson [hip/calf] expects to be available GW6, C Kirk [ankle] monitor, but team looking at signing another WR. P Campbell [abdominal] monitor. M Mack [ankle] monitor. D Singletary [hamstring] was close to playing GW4 is considered day to day. TJ Hockensen [concussion] monitor and the club are not concerned about his shoulder injury. A Callaway, suspension served, is available to play. D… Read more »

SADragon

Gotkowski, Patriots kicker has been put on injured reserve as he needs a hip operation.

Stebbo

Davante Adams out this week with turf toe. Sounds contagious.

SADragon

GW6 Injury list. C Newton OUT GW6, E Engram doubtful GW6 [monitor] Shepard [concussion] monitor. P Dorsett [hamstring] monitor. D Johnson [back] doubtful, monitor. AJ Green OUT GW6, S Watkins [hamstring] monitor. P Mahomes [ankle] expected to play, H Henry, uncertain, back training monitor, S Barkley, close, but unlikely GW6. monitor. S Darnold Will start GW6.

Having a look through the leader board on dream team and NFLSGBN [aka NRLSGBN] is sitting in 3rd position overall and not far off the leader. Great effort.

Kennedy

Any word on Wayne Gillman. Any reason why he only ran it twice? I played him over J.Jacobs. So much regret & my i cant pick a decent captain to save my life lately

SADragon

Yep Wayne Gillman [concussion] only has a couple of days to pass the concussion protocol before his next game, monitor later in the week.
And I noticed they are now saying S Barkley is possible for GW6. monitor later in the week.

SADragon

Further update. GW6. A Kamara RB [ankle] Did not practise, Questionable GW6 monitor. K Stills [hamstring] Questionable, monitor. M Rudolph QB [concussion]OUT GW6. M Andrews TE [shoulder] Questionable, monitor. M Brown WR [ankle] Questionable monitor. A Wilson WR [shoulder] Questionable monitor. S Watkins [WR [hamstring] Doubtful. D Adams WR [turf toe] Did not practise, monitor. T Hill WR [shoulder] Game time decision to be made on playing status. Panic. S Barkley RB [ankle] Could be available GW7 on the field running. AJ Green OUT GW6.

Stebbo

Wish all these assholes would stop getting turg toe and ankle injuries. Best RB option under $5.25mil anyhone?

SADragon

Who you replacing Stebbo?. Couple of cheapies about to make coin. It goes name, price, Break Even, projected increase last weeks score. D Williams $3.26M BE -33 $1.6M Did not play. C Edmonds $3.24M BE -18 $780K 31pts R Bonnaton $2,65M BE-8 $740K 28pts. T Pollard $4.18M BE-9 $720K 3pts D Johnson $4.2M BE 7 $420K 13 pts.
D Williams gets injured a fair bit I think so I would probably opt for Edmonds as he has the potential to increase for a few weeks.

Stebbo

David Montgomery. Got too many bye players. If they could make some $ would be good. Was looking at some guy from Cardinals who was like in the 3mil range

SADragon

Yeah sounds like Chase Edmonds the guy mentioned above. Think he is projected for $1.5 M increase in next 2 weeks. Probably best punt.

Stebbo

Thanks mate. Do u pay the $20 to get all those BE or is there a freebie site like NRL SC stats out there? Im a cheapskate haha

SADragon

Think I paid give me a hoi if you need any.

SADragon

Alvin Kamarra Tyreek Hill and David Johnson all expected to play is the latest report.

Stebbo

Kamara thank goodness or I’ll be running low. How many AEs can u get?

SADragon

Game Week 7 Injury report. C Thompson RB [turf toe] in doubt GW7 E Sanders WR [knee] Practised Tuesday possibly play GW7 monitor. P Dorsett WR [hamstring] Practiced. monitor, K’Neal Henry [ankle] Practised, monitor. G Allison WR[Concussion/chest] In doubt GW7 monitor. D Samuel WR [groin] Week to week, monitor. W Dissly TE [achilles] Gone for season 2019. T Gurley RB [quadriceps] expected to play GW7, A Cooper WR [quadriceps] status uncertain GW7 monitor.

Time For Plan B

Also A Kamara might miss this week

Time For Plan B

I’m lost on what to do with my team this week: Jackson Murray/Jones Cook Jacobs Sanders Singletary/Kamara Walton Thomas Jones Allen Hopkins Gallup MBrown/Evans Metcalf Kelce Kittle/Hockensen Pineiro/Slye 49ers/Ravens $11.79 mil ITB For QB I’m looking at getting either Mahomes or Wilson (maybe Wilson as a POD against everyone with Mahomes). RB I’d like to get McCaffrey and Barkley. WR I’m looking at bringing in K’Neal Harry and another gun WR (just unsure who at the moment). TE is set but I’ll trade out Hock when he maxes out and makes a bit more cash. K I’ll probably trade both… Read more »

SADragon

Kamara and Mahomes both carrying ankle niggles which seem to be affecting output lately. I dropped Kamara for Zeke Elliot with a view to bringing him back when Brees returns around GW10/11. Cannot see Patriots being much cheaper anytime soon, smashing everyone. I am down to 14 trades but happy with my team. Sitting 11th OA.

treloarski

if it was me i would trade kamara for bell and walton for johnson
than next week trade sanders for maccaffrey and singletary for chubb

Magpies4Eva007

Geoff, a quick question on scoring. I’m trying to compare my team to US based “rest of season rankings” to see who I need to best target for my final team. Unfortunately they base their lists on 3 different scoring methods: standard, PPR and half PPR. I’m playing the dreamteam sportsdeck version. Which scoring method is closest to the dreamteam method of scoring? Cheers!

SADragon

standard PPR I believe. Just be careful Mahomes went down today with a pretty bad knee injury. Waiting on updates. And last year in the last round some players got limited time or rested prior to play offs. Maybe try and have non play off players on bench?.

Magpies4Eva007

Cheers Geoff, I have been using the PPR for comparisons. Playing this version for the 3rd year now and have been caught out by the “outs” in the last 2 rounds. Hoping to keep some trades up my sleeve for that purpose. Came very close to trading Mahomes in this week but was happy to sit on Jackson amd Murray while they are still scoring well and making cash. If you have time I was wondering if you could post your starting team for Round 1 so I can get a better understanding on how to build my initial team.… Read more »

SADragon

Sorry Maggie, injured my knee and haven’t got around to it with all the doctors and scans. Will do later if I get time. Cheers. It hasn’t changed much, mainly WR and RB upgrades from rookies and I brought in Patriots and Pienero ? the kicker. Getting the rookies right at the start is my big aim. Seems to have worked okay this year.

Magpies4Eva007

No worries Geoff. Was just interested how you approach structure. I took premiums in TE, Kicker and Defence because I just wanted set and forgets and to save trades. Of course that leaves less cash for RB’s. I find rookie QB’s is where you make money. WR’s seem to be the hardest to pick for consistency. All the best with your knee. My son is in final stages of ACL rehab but my other son just fractured a finger in 2 places. The joys of fatherhood!

SADragon

Game Week 8 Injury report. P Mahomes QB [ankle] Conflicting reports on this, anywhere between 1 week to 6 weeks. M Ryan QB [ankle] Had scans, not ruled out but doubtful. monitor. W Fuller [hamstring]monitor. D Walker TE [ankle] monitor. A Thielen WR [hamstring] Questionable. monitor. K Johnson RB [knee] Reported that he will be placed on Injured Reserve [IR] would be the season. C Kirk WR [ankle]monitor. T Williams WR [foot] Doubtful GW8, monitor. S Shepard [concussion] not sure when he can return to footy but said he will. monitor. Cheers.

Stebbo

Already got lamar but he’s on the bye this week. Ditch Mahomes for who? Stuck. Got Murray there too.

SADragon

Cousins is expected to increase by $2Mil over the next 2 weeks IIRC, scores projected mid 40’s. D Watson is more expensive but is worth it. Did you take Chase Edmonds, good points and $’s if you did. 😉

Stebbo

Didn’t play Edmonds last week. Good $ though. 3-4 touchdown s later…..doh

SADragon

His BE is -34 and he is predicted to rise $3.2 Mil over the next 2 weeks. Needs another good score to continue or $$$ time.

SADragon

Another QB worth looking at is A Rodgers, predicted to increase by $3.2Mil over next 2 weeks scores mid 40’s to 50 predicted.

Magpies4Eva007

I believe Theilan has been ruled out which should be good for Digg’s owners.

SADragon

Yep, just checked after you mentioned it. Don’t mind that, brought Diggs in about 2 weeks ago.

SADragon

A. Kamara has not trained this week either so it is suggested to monitor the situation as he has a bye in GW9 and might be held out until after that.

Stebbo

Is Cook’s 50pts enough to loop or is the wise move keeping the C on D Watson? What’s the Raiders’ defence like?

SADragon

Watson’s predicted points are 50. He is the number one rated QB and Raiders are rated as 25th in DFS. Cannot find any prior scores of Watson against Raiders in the last 3 seasons. Your call, points in the bag or run with Watson?. GL.

Stebbo

Thanks bud. I’ll let it run see if he has a big game.

SADragon

GW 9 Injury chatter. P Mahomes QB [knee] has not been ruled out of GW9 monitor, A Thielen WR Limited Practice, not ruled out GW9,monitor. M Bredia RB suggested to check inactive list Doubtful, D Johnson RB check inactive list, D Watson QB [eye] Full practice, expected to play. C Keenum QB [concussion] Has to pass protocols, monitor. D Walker TE[ankle] Did not practice monitor,M Brown WR [ankle] Expected to play GW9, D Jackson WR [abdomen] Limited practice chance to play GW9 monitor, O Beckham Jnr WR [groin] Limited Practice monitor, Chase Edmonds RB [hamstring] IS OUT GW9 STEBBO, replace… Read more »

Stebbo

Thanks buddy. While you’re helping a noob out what should I do look at trading in? I wanted to get McCAffrey in the other week but Mahomes got injured so that went by the wayside. $ITB – 4,320,000 QB – Watson / Jackson / Murray RB – Cook / Elliott / Ekler / Jacobs / Edmonds / Singletary WR – Hopkins / Chark / McLaurin / OBJ / Marquire BROWN / Lazard / Kupp / Washington TE – Kittle / Waller / Hockenson D – Patriots / Ravens Feel like I still need to mamke some $. Any QB downgrade… Read more »

SADragon

These players are projected to increase in $ over the next 2 weeks. M Moore QB $5,140,000 BE -14, projected $’s 2.8Mil over 2 weeks. he is covering for Mahomes. D Jones QB $9,020,000 BE -7 projected $1.8Mil 2 weeks, D Carr 10,770,000 The last 2 are probably more nailed on playing wise [picked weekly] and cover for Watson on the rnd 10 bye. A Jones RB 14,860,000 BE 8 $2.7Mil over 2 weeks [bye rnd 11] T Coleman RB 10,270,000 BE -7 $2.8 Mil over 2 weeks. My selection would be Jones, been scoring okay and played more than… Read more »

Stebbo

Feel like I need cheaper downgrade options? Only got $4m ITB. QB though the cheap options seem like the regular QB starters aren’t out long? One of the team’s doing badly are starting their rookie QB? CANT remember who without looking….. Haven’t got a win yet.

My RB seems okay this week. Any WR money making options? Or should I downgrade upgrade Chase Edmonds and downgrade QB Murray this wk? Bit stuck

Stebbo

What about Kenyan Drake now at Cardinals with their injuries? Edmonds to Drake?

SADragon

Drake will cost you $500K over the next 2 weeks and the Cards coach has said he will be eased in slowly with the workload. What about going back to Montgomery, he is projected to increase by $1,8 Mil over the next 2 weeks and has had his bye. Nothing much around except for him. De Sean Jackson for WR but it is doubtful he plays until after rnd 10. Need to monitor his availability.

Stebbo

David Montgomery? Chicago? NFL website says rd6 bye but Sportsdeck website is wrong I think….Has multiple gaps rd10/12/14/16 wierd..

SADragon

He is the player you traded out for Edmonds in Rnd 6 as you had so many having a bye. Sportsdeck is playing up, every second week missing with me as well.

Stebbo

You’re keeping track of your team and mine haha. Thanks. I’ve traded Monty in for Edmonds. Still need a WR this week to strengthen that area. Looking at McLaurin out for someone as he seems to have peaked and gone quiet the past couple weeks.

SADragon

I did him for Jackson, but I have cover on the bench from Metcalf. That bloke you suggested RB has 78yds and a touchdown at half time. Coach said he would be used sparingly. I wouldn’t have taken him.

Stebbo

Which bloke I suggest?

Jackson been out most of season except 1 game?

Stebbo

Drake you mean?

SADragon

Yeah Drake. I didn’t know he had moved. Wouldn’t have picked him. He seems to have done OK today. And Jackson has abdominal strain, will be back soon. That one game he scored 62 points.

SADragon

These WR’s are expected to make money and reasonable $’s. D Amendelo $2.1Mil [2 weeks] M Jones $1.2Mil [over 2 weeks] and C Conley $1.1Mil next week then got a bye.

Stebbo

Thanks mate. Are you In the league with Semi? (Semi – Nrlsctalk). I’m thinking of maybe upgrading Washington then doing something with McLaurin next week. What u think? Would upgrade Washington to Amendola. Marquise Brown looks like playing this week but has a tough matchup against the Pats. If I make these trades at least my AE isn’t Washington. Or is it not worth the trade doing anything with Washington?

SADragon

If that is James Washington I would do Amendola for sure. $2.1Mil helps upgrades. Not in the NRL one, missed out. Going okay, 7th last week OA. Bit off the pace still.

Stebbo

Yeah James Washington. He’s done F all. Next week maybe downgrade McLaurin to someone like Sanders or see what’s on offer. Give McLaurin a run this week. Then a toss up between running Marquise Brown (if fit) and Lazard from Packers.

SADragon

Injury chatter Game Week 10. J Brissett QB [knee] optimistic will play GW 10, monitor, C Newton QB [foot] Injured Reserve, Out for season, E Engram, TE [foot] monitor, J Connor RB [shoulder] questionable GW10 L Bell RB [knee] had scans, should be okay GW10 monitor, B Cooks WR [concussion] going through protocol, monitor, D Johnson RB [ankle] Appears set to play GW10 monitor, M Ryan Qb [ankle] Expected to play GW10 monitor, P Campbell WR [broken hand] sidelined several weeks. M Walton RB Miami Dolphins. suspended for 4 games for substance abuse. J Jacobs RB [shoulder] limited practice monitor,… Read more »

SupercoachGodsBeNice

Haven’t been on here much as I’ve been on other forums

Beyond CMac, Cook and AJ I’m struggling to find a RB who I’m comfortable with in that last slot

Zeke just not getting it done
Barkley been disappointing also
Henry is a massive gamble
Carson just doesn’t seem to have that high ceiling
Chubb could lose value with Hunt there and not be the same value as the start of the year
Gordon could be an interesting one if he has a big game again this week

Interested to hear thoughts