Buy, Sell, Hold Round 25 – season in review

Our Yung Legends league Grand Final is this week and as mentioned on the always tremendous Sunday Solopod, and will see myself face Nick for the title. There are rumours swirling that Nick may be looking short on numbers, whilst I’ve managed to save one trade. Best of luck to Nick, he’s had a great season, and also to everyone else for their head to head grand finals.

This week is an absolute dumpster fire for teams and no one has any trades left (except me apparently). Just select your best 17 and pray they get named one hour before kick-off. If you do have one trade left, you have to use it on Ryan Papenhuyzen who has an ungodly average of 97.4 in five 80 minute games this season, and 87.2 in nine games where he’s played at least 30 minutes. The Storm play the Cowboys at home as well. You could put the captain on him if you were game enough, and I’m sure Semi will have him covered tomorrow.

Anyway, with no trades remaining for the vast majority of teams, I thought I’d have a look back at my trade decisions for the year. The buys and sells will cover the good and mostly bad choices I made along the way, which look mostly bad despite currently sitting in the top 400. Going through these decisions has brought back some painful memories and also highlighted that I could have been a lot higher if I’d trusted my gut and held off a few rushed trades.

I’d also like to say thanks for reading my work this season and I’m glad so many of you have enjoyed it. Hopefully I’ll be back again next year, but after a few of us embarrassed Wenin and JT there’s a good chance myself and Stilesy will be moved on so they can look better in 2020.

Best Call – Round 11 BUY Manu Ma’u. Currently the seventh highest average in Supercoach was brought in at 7% ownership in Round 11.

Worst Call – Round 8 Ryan Matterson out, Rhyse Martin in. This was a panic trade after hearing Matterson would be moved to 5/8 to play the Roosters just before the game started. Of course, he scored an early try and Martin ended up not playing much after this. I hate Dean Pay.

Buy

Manu Ma’u

Picking up Ma’u early was probably the biggest move for my team this season, snapping him up in Round 11. He remained a strong POD until round 17/18 when his ownership started to creep above 7% (it’s currently at 24%). Having another strong base stat backrower in my CTW ensured that my scores had a very strong floor and by jumping on Ma’u early I was able to use my late season trades for other options.

Corey Harawira-Naera

As mentioned above, one of the big successes this season was bringing on CHN in Round 5 when he was owned by less than 6,000 coaches. His scores for the next two games weren’t anything special – 39 and 54. But the 141 in Round 7 made a massive difference. A 1,247 that round placed me 746th for the week and moved me up to 205th overall, my highest ever rank. This was all possible due to the second injury that Tom Trbojevic suffered, as he was the one traded out to bring in Harawira-Naera.

It wasn’t all positive though, as CHN missed rounds 9, 11 and most importantly 12 before being sold for about $100k profit.

Jazz Tevaga

Tevaga was the one other major POD I had throughout the season. He was traded in after a strong game at lock in Round 15, and averaged 73 for the next seven games before a sin bin affected 20 against the Roosters. He was traded in at about 2% ownership, and even with that 70 average over that time he was never in more than about 6% of teams. I ended up trading him out in Round 23 as a straight swap for David Klemmer to bolster my FRF.

Kotoni Staggs

Wilfred and myself had our eyes on Staggs early as a 2RF/CTW bye cheapie who could make some cash. Someone who shall remain nameless, let’s call him Lenin, derided that idea as he didn’t think Staggs would end up with any attacking stats. He was brought in for Round 14 and provided two consecutive 50 point scores, including one important one during the Round 16 bye weekend.

Let’s not mention that I sold him at $342,500 in Round 17, the week that he scored 101 and followed it up with a 93. He was traded out to get Munster, so there was method to my madness.

Brian Too

The Panthers winger was a mid-season cow that not many picked up due to already owning Corey Allen and Zac Lomax, with Too only peaking at around 13% ownership in Round 15. His $300k increase enabled me to turn Dylan Brown into Mitch Moses in Round 21.

James Tedesco

Not a ground-breaking buy, but a bit of bye planning that actually went my way for once. Knowing I was sitting on a few extra trades, I flipped out Tedesco in Round 15 for $696,200 to Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and brought him back in for Round 19 at a nice discount ($627,900). During that time, he played just the one game, scoring 95 against the Knights. Meanwhile RTS scored 319, netting me an extra 224 points for the cost of two trades.

Sell

Ryan Matterson

Matterson to Martin was one of the worst trades I’ve ever made, even if I did eventually get him back. He was named at 5/8 to play the Roosters just before kick-off, and usually for these sort of changes I’d resist the urge to make an impulsive trade as they’re likely to be back in their normal spot next round. Yet this time I went ahead with it. Matterson was traded out averaging 61, and proceeded to score at 73.3 per game until I managed to return him to my side in Round 15. Did I mention how much I hate Dean Pay?

Rhyse Martin

As mentioned above Martin was brought in as a replacement for Matterson. It seemed like a decent move at the time and gave me another number for the first bye weekend and a player who had been an absolute gun in 2018. They’ll both average about 60-65 I thought, and even if they didn’t the extra game from Martin in Round 12 would make up the difference and I could then trade CHN to Matterson in Round 13. Flawless plan right?

Martin scored 62 that week and it was initially looking good. Then he was dropped a week after and it was evident that he was clearly done with the Dogs and it was only a matter of time before Martin was gone. He scored 15 and 26 in the two games he sat as a non-playing reserve. Somehow I managed to only lose $45k on him when I sold. Boy I hate Dean Pay. And not because I’m an Eels supporter and I was brought up to hate everything to do with Canterbury.

Clint Gutherson

Gutherson’s season can be split into two parts for me – pre ownership and post ownership. The Dean Pay disaster continued in Round 9 with CHN missing a week and Rhyse Martin named on the bench, so I made a hasty trade and brought in Gutho at $595k to face the Storm to bolster my CTW rather than play Garrick (29) or Xerri (23). Gutherson scored just 10.

Pre-ownership, Gutherson averaged 72.3, absolute keeper numbers and part of the reason he had increased in price by nearly $200k. The next five rounds when I owned him? Just 31. 4, including a 0 due to a head knock.

Six rounds later I had sold him for $393,000. Proving I have learned nothing, I then traded him back in at $444,600 in Round 21 and he’s now unplayable due to the minutes at dummy half.

The most frustrating part about this is that I had Gutherson locked into my side for the whole pre-season, and even highlighted him being significantly undervalued (even without goal kicking duties) in an article on the site. Then a few days before kick-off I changed him out for Jo Ofahengaue. Never listen to a Broncos fan hyping up one of their own (Payne Haas and David Fifita are the exceptions to the rule obviously)

Matt Moylan

Probably the biggest sliding door moment of the season for me was Round 13. Dylan Brown was still recovering from a back injury and I needed to find a 5/8 who would play the next bye round. Shaun Johnson was still a week or two away and hadn’t looked likely all season. Moylan was $486,700 and looked to be a decent option until Munster was free from Origin duties. Of course, Johnson came back and regained his old form while Moylan missed multiple games with injury and was a complete passenger by the time I sold him in Round 17 for $120k less than I bought him for. Never. Again.

Tom Eisenhuth

Round 17 approached, and I had pencilled in everyone’s favourite dual nuff Jarrad Anderson to make my Staggs/Moylan to Munster trade work. Sadly, I forgot when the Bulldogs were playing and missed lockout. The only other option was Eisenhuth, who at the time looked unlikely to play once a few of the Storm players were rested post Origin. It turns out that Craig Bellamy was resting players for the remainder of the regular season as the Storm wrapped up the minor premiership. This meant that I copped Eisenhuth’s 8 in Round 23 as an AE when Latrell Mitchell was a late out, instead of 41 from Gutherson. Another important Supercoach lesson, always pick a nuff with zero chance of suiting up, usually one with a season ending injury.

Kurt Mann

He was cheap enough and had a negative break even at the time, it was worth taking a flyer on him. He did score 76 on the Storm last season on a rep weekend. Ultimately, he never fired despite playing 80 minutes. He was brought in at $240,900 and sold for $317,300 which would have been OK if he had produced a decent score during the five rounds I owned him.

Braidon Burns

Burns looked like an amazing cash cow after two straight 70 point games to start the season. Like many other coaches (about 30,000 of us) I brought him in Round 3 only to see him suffer a hamstring injury that he never really recovered from. I ended up trading him to Tom Trbojevic, who suffered another hamstring injury in Round 4.

Michael Morgan

Somehow I held on to him until Round 10, selling him at $422,600, a massive $13,000 more than his starting price. At that time, he was barely averaging 50. He’s now at $338,600 with a five round average of 34.2. And there’s still some clown captaining him each week…

Hold

Jake Trbojevic

Damian Cook

Martin Taupau

Andrew Fifita

Jason Taumalolo

Cameron Murray

Kalyn Ponga

Briton Nikora

All the above players were held for the entire season as part of my plan to lock down as many keepers as soon as possible and use as many trades as I could to optimise the rest of my side. There were a few others that I had also intended to hold all season. John Bateman was only traded out due to injury, while Tedesco would have been held had he not been rested before and after Origin.

Looking back, part of the success was that I managed to get my starting side mostly correct, as my ranking didn’t dip outside the top 1,000 after Round 4. I managed to start with the right keepers and picked most of the right cows – CNK, Ravalawa, Garrick, Okunbor, Xerri, Too. Some I jumped off too early like Luke Garner, but with good reason as he was sold Round 4 to fund Tom Trbojevic. I also managed to avoid many of the dud cows like Corey Allen and Zac Lomax, although not Tom Flegler.

Getting my captain choices right was also extremely important. For the first 11 rounds of the season Cook was my captain, during which time he averaged 86.8. Then the next two rounds it was Taumalolo, who scored 138 then 93. This allowed me to wear a few below par scores from the players I wanted to hold and maximise my trades around cash cows and mid pricers who covered the byes.

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BT
Member
Gun
BT

Nice one Carlos. Well done on the rank and I hope you’re back next year!

IANAGA
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IANAGA

captaining bateman in rd 6 cost me in overall…

magee
Member
Keeper
magee

Great recap Carlos. A lot of us will be nodding along.

Thanks heaps for the effort you have put in through the season. It is guys like you (well, all the contributors on the site really) who make this stupid game more enjoyable.\

Best of luck for a good finish to the season!

ubeaut
Member
Keeper
ubeaut

I hear your Gutherson pain.
Like you I traded him in at just under 600k when averaging 70+
He scored 10 that week and never recovered.
Traded him out for 400k but at least there was no way I was trading him back in!

rico
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Keeper
rico

Haha love it. Thanks for your great entertaining input through the season mate !! Loved it smile