BUY SELL HOLD – R7

Has the Banner Curse struck again? One of the top trades in this week would have been Roger Tuivisa-Sheck after yet another amazing performance in a losing side. Sadly, he is rumoured to be struggling with a hamstring injury and might miss the Warriors ANZAC day clash with the Storm. Luckily, it’s a Thursday game so we’ll know relatively early if he’s available. Save your trade until the last minute if you’re going to risk it, I’m not sure I’d be bringing someone in with a hamstring issue after being burned by Turbo.

Latrell Mitchell is another who is probably worth waiting a week on. Even with a BE of 8, the fact he’s named in the #6 jersey is might be enough to give him a week before trading him in. As with RTS, check the team lists before the first game on ANZAC day in case Lachlan Lam or Brock Lamb end up in the halves, as both are in the 21 man squad.

This week will be a briefer than usual Buy, Sell, Hold due to the short turnaround time and the fact that everyone should be trading in Payne Haas.

Best Call – SELL Anthony Milford. Scored a respectable 45, but you could have had a score of 40 and pocketed a few hundred thousand by downgrading to Chanel Harris-Tavita.

Worst Call – A rare week without a completely terrible call as even Brian Kelly scored 59. Chances are this won’t be a regular thing. B

BUY

Payne Haas ($181,100 FRF – 74 last round, Average: 75.5, Break even -89)

Yet another week, yet another must have cheapie. Scores of 69 and 64 in pure base stats alone in his first two games, if he get a line break or a try, he should be looking at a 100+ score. Even if he loses some time on the field with the return of Tevita Pangai, he’ll still play enough with a high enough work rate to make some serious money.

Jai Whitbread ($181,100 FRF – 48, AVG: 42.5, BE -23)

If you were lucky enough to start with Haas, Whitbread represents a serious option his week with the injury to Ryan James. He played similar minutes in his two games (37 and 39) with PPM of above 1.0 in both games. If he continues with a 50 average, he could be worth $400k after he plays Round 12, which could see him easily traded with a bit of extra to a keeper. If you’re still stinging about missing out on Lachlan Burr (who could be traded to Jason Taumalolo in a few weeks), Whitbread could be another excellent cash cow.

Nathan Cleary ($546,400 HFB – 96, AVG: 59.0, BE 9)

A slow start to the season (40.6 average for the first three games) has turned around with Cleary averaging 77.3 over his last three games. With a BE of 9 he’s as cheap as he will be for the foreseeable future. Mitchell Moses, Ben Hunt and Chad Townsend are about the same price as Cleary and may be POD options, but Cleary has the Supercoach history to separate him from the pack.

Bronson Xerri ($236,200 CTW – 73, AVG: 50.0, BE -20)

If you were on the fence about Xerri last week, his performance against the Panthers should have been enough to erase any doubts. He’s still very affordable, and with Matt Moylan not due back for a month he still as some cash to be made, but probably won’t be a season long keeper.

Corey Allan ($221,800 CTW|FLB – 54, AVG: 28.8, BE 6)

At just a shade over $200k, Allen is still very affordable, has a low break even and plays Round 12. Like Xerri he probably won’t be in your team post Origin but will be a great cash cow and provide some valuable bye cover. 

SELL

Ryan James ($427,300 2RF|FRF – 9, AVG: 38.2, BE 77)

James has been lost for the season with an ACL injury. Luckily there’s a host of options to trade him to if you want a keeper, or you could go straight down to Haas and pocket some cash.

Michael Morgan ($480,500 HFB|5/8 – 44, AVG: 55.7, BE 62)

It was unlikely that anyone who started with Morgan expected him to be a season long keeper, although it would have been a nice surprise. His price has likely peaked and with Cleary set for a nice price rise, he’s a great choice to pair with a Haas downgrade.

Jacob Host ($271,300 2RF|FRF – 26, AVG: 35.2, BE 40)

Host’s run has truly come to an end with Haas and Whitbread playing their third games. If a cow is not making money or able to be played in your 17 then there’s little reason to hang onto them.

Rueben Garrick ($291,200 CTW – 10, AVG: 38.8, BE 34)

Garrick should have been decent bye coverage, but after a score of 10 on the weekend against the Dragons there’s not much reason to continue holding him when there’s other options available that will continue to generate cash. If you have the dual position players, there’s at least four options this week (Haas, Whitbread, Allen, Xerri) who you could downgrade to and pocket some cash.

Mikaele Ravalawa ($350,200 CTW – 32, AVG: 42.8, BE 32)

Ravalawa has been a great cow so far, but at some point, we knew his run would come to an end. Scoring a 32 with a try is a good indication that it’s time to jump off, and as mentioned with Garrick there’s a great bunch of players to choose from.

Luke Garner ($374,600 2RF – 32, AVG: 52.3, BE 32)

Another cow who has performed admirably over the first six weeks of the season but can be easily traded out this week, especially considering he has to pass HIA protocol to play. His three round average of 44.7 isn’t enough to warrant a spot in your 17 anymore.

HOLD

Jai Arrow ($547,300, 2RF – 58, AVG: 63.2, 82)

In what is becoming a regular occurrence, Arrow is still a hold again this week. With James out it’s again worth watching how his minutes and workload are affected. If it’s another below average (for Arrow) game, he could become a sell as early as next week given that he will play Origin and not suit up for the Titans game in Round 12.

Jayden Okunbor ($329,200 CTW|2RF – 19, AVG: 55.5, BE 48)

After a barnstorming first two games, Okunbor has crashed back to earth. His break even this week is a bit high for a fourth game, especially after tonning up in his second, but with a couple of scores in the 50s he could be back to a single digit BE in two weeks once this 19 moves out of his rolling average. He’s worth holding until the Bulldogs play Round 12 at least.

Rhyse Martin ($593,600 2RF – 32, AVG: 59.0, BE 102)

With Dean Pay doing his best to ruin Martin’s career by relegating him to the bench late last round, I can understand some rage trades this week. He’s been named to start again this week, but there’s every chance that Pay could again swap him with Adam Elliot. If he starts, then he’s a hold. If not, the Bulldogs do play the 6pm Friday game so you would still have some choices like Villiame Kikau or even a returning Taumalolo to trade him to.

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GreatWhiteShark
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GreatWhiteShark

Which one to get rid of this week? Garrick or Ravalawa?

Spartan 30
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Spartan 30

I went Garrick to Haas last week, so suggest you move him on.

IANAGA
Member
IANAGA

i traded both XD

Alex
Member
Alex

Great write up, would you consider BJ a buy this week?

Sams seals
Member
Gun
Sams seals

Morgans fixture is incredible. Im not selling.

Brophys Tentmen
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Brophys Tentmen

Just no one around him to support and back up, cowboys in for a long season.

Nick
Member
Nick

How confident are we that Billy Brittain is first choice backup hooker for Rnd 12?

Tossing up between Hodgson and Britain for Rnd 12 cover. Risk/rewards either way.

TU Britain
TD Hodgson

Thought process now is buy Hodgson and see how he is tracking by Rnd 12 and trade out to Britain if appropriate. Currently have cook/holland combo (haven’t even been playing holland) and not sure if I want to ride Holland all the way through to 12.

Thoughts would be much appreciated. Cheers.

TurkeySnow
Member
Gun

Nick have you looked at Egan by any chance, first week starting with Katoa in the side last week. He was heavily involved, and unfortunately had a few errors in game. Could be a cheaper option for rd12 that could make some cash and bank you some coin at the same time.

Nick
Member
Nick

Yeah true, just feel like the risk might outweigh the reward with Egan? Although in saying that, watching him play I can see he might have an attacking stat or 2 in him so could jag a few good scores here and there.

RupturedTesticle
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Sleeper
RupturedTesticle

Thoughts on buying Waddell this week? Will make some cash and cover round 12

Skiffie
Member
Skiffie

Looking to trade in Haas, but I have A. Fifita, Klemmer, Tatola and Flegler… considering straight swap Flegler to Haas,

Also looking to offload Garrick, is Capewell, Ravalawa, Bird, Cotric, Salmon or Rapana best value?

Rabs85
Member
Sleeper
Rabs85

You could go Garrick -> Haas via a ctw/2rf dual if you’ve got one and Klemmer.

I would argue that if you’re not willing to play one of Haas, Tatola and Flegler then you need to decide on the best two.

brendan
Member
brendan

Worth grabbing Cook at this stage of the season?

Would leave me with 1 cheapie I can get rid of, depending on who is the biggest underperformed out of Garner/Host/Rava/Garrick

IANAGA
Member
IANAGA

17th player….garner or xerri?