Buy, Sell, Hold – R4

The first round of price rises has been completed, cheapies are starting to grow, and guns are starting to drop to some realistically reachable prices. With some teams starting to take shape with access to the extra trade boosts available to us, we will be running through the next group of players that you should Buy, Sell, and Hold.

A brief overview of last weeks hits and misses:

HITS

Josh King – BUY (85 points and $71.1k gain)
Nicho Hynes – BUY (124 points and $58.4k gain)
Angus Crichton – SELL (34 points and $46.9k loss)

MISSES


Viliame Kikau – BUY (31 points and $29.4k gain)
Tom Trbojevic – HOLD (66 points and $173.2k loss)

BUY


CAMERON MUNSTER – 5/8 – $649,800 – BE 12
Mad Dog is fit and firing which was evident over his first two games of the season. While the results haven’t been amazing for Melbourne with a 1 point victory over Souths and a loss to the Eels in extra time, Munster has shown a huge improvement in involvement and has scored a 74 and 121. Melbourne have a great run coming up with the Bulldogs, Raiders, Sharks, Warriors, Knights and the Dragons for their next 6. With Cody Walker having a 3rd tough matchup in a row this round and losing money, Munster is the 5/8 to have now before he rises. If Munster reaches his projected score of 90, he will go over the $700k mark and it will be very difficult to bring him in after that point.

BEAU FERMOR – 2RF/CTW – $439,700 – BE -26
It appears based on the first 3 rounds, that the Gold Coast Titans are allergic to attacking with the right-sided second rower. Thankfully for Beau Fermor that means the ball ends up on his side when in the attacking third more often than not. This is evident with two tries and a try assist in his last two games. If you don’t have Fermor in and you missed his initial price rise of $60.4k, don’t stress at all. With his dual position and low breakeven it is not too late to get him in. Also, after this round his low score of 36 in round 1 drops out of his rolling average so he should still be securing some decent price rises over the next couple of weeks.

BRAD SCHNEIDER – HFB – $188,770 – BE -64
This is one that every serious supercoacher should already own or at the very least be heavily considering but entering round 4 with the lowest breakeven and goalkicking duties locked in for the Raiders, Schneider is a huge buy. He isn’t a play this week or next unless your team has been rampaged with injuries/suspensions/covid but most weeks, Schneider is a confident play in your 17. Nothing more needs to be said, GET HIM IN!

HARRY GRANT – HOK – $644,700 – BE 39
TOM STARLING – HOK – $377,700 – BE 11
LEO THOMPSON – FRF – $206,000 – BE -16

HOLD

JAMES TEDESCO – FLB – $714,000 – BE 79
Teddy and his crew in Sydney have not come off to the best of starts in season 2022. With an embarrassing loss to Newcastle straight out of the gates, a redemption game against Manly and then going down to the Rabbitohs on the weekend. Starting as the 4th highest player, Teddy has averaged only 60 points across the first 3 rounds and has lost $46.1k in the first lot of price changes. However, the case to hold Tedesco is still very strong. The run they have from now is incredible and should put plenty of points on offer for him, with Cowboys, Broncos, Warriors, Dragons, Bulldogs and the Titans coming up. Teddy also doesn’t have a huge breakeven like Tom Trbojevic does so he shouldn’t be losing any cash realistically over the next 6 weeks at least.

ADDIN FONUA-BLAKE – FRF – $500,000 – BE 56
Finding a secondary FRF to partner Payne Haas seems to be a struggle so far this season however isn’t a spot that requires as much attention as the HOK, 2RF and the halves. Fonua-Blake has only been averaging 51.3 points so far this season, but is still a hold in my eyes as he could easily improve that to a 55-60 point average over 2-3 weeks and won’t be losing much cash as his breakeven is still only mid-50’s.

PETA HIKU – CTW/FLB – $398,400 – BE 23
Peta Hiku was a big buy last week after scoring 62 and 76 points in the first 2 rounds with a single try assist as his only attacking stat. Owned by 1.6%, that number jumped dramatically after last weekend to 16.4%. Despite the Cowboys putting a thumping on their home state nemesis, Hiku failed to live up to new owners expectations with a measly 28 points. Hiku goes into round 4 with a decent rolling average making his breakeven only 23 so he still has a few weeks of potentially money-making in him.

SELL

STEFANO UTOIKAMANU – FRF – $425,600 – BE 77
Big Uto was very highly owned going into this season with a decent starting price compared to his average at the end of last season. However, he is an easy sell this round as not only was he underperforming, he has suffered an injury that will keep him sidelined until at least round 11 at this stage.
SUITABLE REPLACEMENTS: Max King, Jai Arrow, Sio Siua Taukeiaho

ETHAN BULLEMOR – FRF/2RF – $283,600 – BE 58
Ethan Bulletrap has hit his peak for the early season it seems after losing his starting second row spot to Andrew Davey and being pushed back to the bench. A big price rise of $3.6k and now a seemingly unreachable breakeven of 58 has turned Bullemor into a definite sell.
SUITABLE REPLACEMENTS: Max King, Kelma Tuilagi, Leo Thompson

KOTONI STAGGS – CTW – $398,200 – BE 59
Round 2 and 3 have been the same story for Kotoni Staggs. “He’ll explode this round, he can score 2-3 tries easily this round, he’ll put Cobbo through for a few surely this round”. This hasn’t been close to happening, and Staggs hasn’t been helping his case due to his lack of effort to get the football in his hands. Staggs is averaging a whopping 5 points a carry so far this season, he may have a good matchup this weekend but I’d suggest moving him onto one of the suitable replacements below before the price differential makes it too hard to move him on.

SUITABLE REPLACEMENTS: Beau Fermor, Taylan May, Teig Wilton

JAHROME HUGHES – HFB – $630,500 – BE 113
TYRELL SLOAN – CTW/FLB – $438,200 – BE 88

alexjc

Born and raised in Brisbane so a proud Queenslander but a lifelong Dragons fan (thank my dad for that). SuperCoach fanatic and one-time comp leader and will tell everyone and anyone about it.

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mattmobster

Still torn over getting Fermor. Might have to pass dammit .!

Hoffa

I think last week was the week to buy. Tough run after this week could see plenty of 30-40 point games. Still might cave to the FOMO though.

Trade-a-holic

Nicho a buy for those who don’t already have him with a BE of 12?

AJW

One suspects so! 😉

Temple Guard

Stop it AJW…. You think he will be the Banner? Geezzzz

stormers

This was brilliant, 1000 times better than Tom Sangster which was rubbish

Temple Guard

Haha

JS1999

Is it worth using boost this week on BWalters > KHethringron so i can bring in Harry via duals next week. Or save the booster and struggle on without Grant a few week longer. Randall is other hooker so would be playing him

Temple Guard

This is impossible to answer… for me anyway …. obviously You want Guns ASAP… is all I can comment to that

tanous

so turbo was a hold last week
no comment this week = should have sold last week?

MyYfH8sSC

But he’s changed catagories and not even an honorable mention in the sell section for those crazy enough to still own him!

McKnight

Gone Staggs>May to afford Walker>Hynes. Leaves me with $100m ITB. Not sure if it’s worth going AFB>Arrow or save the trade.

MyYfH8sSC

Wow, you have done so well to have that much money ITB! I think May is a bit of a risk since he had the game of his life last week and didn’t get close to 100.

Shlapper

Is there another May I don’t know about as Taylan May scored 106, which last time I checked exceeds 100. Are you possibly being sarcastic?

I do have to laugh at the pickup on the $100m ITB – I totally missed that HAHA.

moon the loon

Only his brother the video king

bandicoot

Is Kikau a sell? I’m thinking of bringing in Nat Butcher for the Roosters upcoming run and don’t really want to be on the Kikau rollercoaster??

boink

Thoughts?

Wighton > Munster (Moses other half)
AFB > Taylan May (moving tago from centre to make this happen)
Need cash from afb to make Munster happen

Is it too early to boost? Thinking to add Randal > sterling (grant is other hook)

ithilmar

No mention of Dearden…I guess there are better options? I am considering to sell Hasting think I will go straight for Munster

Last edited 1 year ago by ithilmar
SmashEmBro

Is Nanai a buy this week? I’d considered bringing him in prior to reading this.

Last edited 1 year ago by SmashEmBro