Buy, Sell, Hold – R24

Last weekend’s “evolving” banner nearly ruined the weekend for everyone, with a number of Storm players having average games and Josh Addo-Carr getting run down 1m away from the try line. Whoever thought of that banner idea shouldn’t be consulted for suggestions in the future.

I’d also like to apologise to Wenin, for incorrectly attributing a stat about Jake Trbojevic to Wilfred instead of him. I guess these are the sort of things you can worry about when you’re sitting outside the top 1,000. Those of us inside the top 500, like myself and our tireless late mail man Stilesy, have more important things to worry about. Best of luck to all in your Head to Head semifinals as well.

Best Call – SELL Clint Gutherson. Another sub 50 game with more time spent at dummy half. If I had trades left, I’d be punting him immediately.

Worst Call – SELL Jason Taumalolo. To be fair, I did say “If he’s named, then you’d have to play him and hope that his minutes aren’t managed.” More below.

Buy

Ryan Papenhuyzen ($485,800 FLB – 123 last round, Average: 50.4, BE 45)

In 80 minute games this season, Papenhuyzen has an average of 97.3 with scores of 119, 71, 108 and 123. Two of those scores were against the Titans (the last two) and the 119 was in the Storms demolition of the Eels during Magic Round. You can only play who is in front of you though, and his 71 came during Melbourne’s Round 15 win over the Roosters. Papenhuyzen has had two other games of 40+ minutes, which netted 46 against New Zealand and 96 against Brisbane.

The most encouraging part of his game from a Supercoach perspective is his ability to back up and be in the right spot as an attacking play develops, similar to James Tedesco. I’m not advocating dropping James Tedesco or Tom Trbojevic for him, but if you are holding a Roger Tuivisa-Schek or someone similar as your second fullback, then he will be a very sneaky point of difference for Head to Head semi-finals this weekend with just 2% ownership.

Jason Taumalolo ($616,400 2RF – 103, AVG: 80.1, BE 60)

If you did manage to trade out Taumalolo for Round 22, then you need to find a way to get him back in. His minutes were up on his two previous games before his foot injury, playing 65 as opposed to 58 and 56 the week before. His next two matchups aren’t that easy, with games against the Bulldogs and Storm, but it’s evident he’s not being managed for the run home even though his base work rate may have not been at previous levels. Ultimately his floor is so high – just one non injury affected game under 60 this season) that he’s worth the last of your trades.

Josh Papalii ($620,900 FRF|2RF – 82, AVG: 63.6, BE 55)

BigManSeason is well and truly taking over the nation’s capital, with Papalii in sensational form and possessing the sixth highest five round average across all players at 79.8. He’s still in somewhat POD territory at 11% but that probably won’t be as low come the first lockout of the week.

Waqa Blake ($397,900 CTW – 85, AVG: 42.0, BE -16)

With a number of Eels backline players underperforming of late, Blake has a been a pleasant surprise. Sporting a three round average of 66.3, he could be a great POD trade if you want to expunge yourself of Clint Gutherson, as he’s only owned by 2% of coaches. The only concern is that the Broncos have only given up 33ppg to right centres over the past five rounds, second fewest in the NRL.

Sell

Clint Gutherson ($427,700 CTW|FLB – 41, AVG: 55.9, BE 63)

He hasn’t scored more than 56 in four games against very ordinary competition (and the Bulldogs). As long as he continues to be stifled with minutes at dummy half he is unplayable, and if you had some trades spare I’d be getting rid of him for Blake.

Nathan Brown ($536,100 2RF – 60, AVG: 57.7, BE 60)

After looking like Brad Arthur had coached the grubbiness out of his game, he executed a terrible dog shot on Dallin Watene-Zelezniak and will be suspended for the final two rounds of the season. What was looking like a great POD at just 3% ownership will now likely be an expensive bench ornament for most coaches.

Jake Trbojevic ($503,600 2RF – 69, AVG: 63.5, BE 62)

There was already concern about Jurbo’s scoring of late in last weeks Buy, Sell, Hold and his performance on the weekend against the Raiders hasn’t reassured anyone. Whilst his nice score of 69 doesn’t seem that bad, that includes a try and line break. He would have been starting down yet another mid-40s score without that try. With that sort of form, I’d be looking at firmly planting him on the non-playing reserve bench this week as Melbourne have given up the fewest points to locks over the past five rounds at 45.8.

Maika Sivo ($392,500 CTW – 21, AVG: 52.7, BE 98)

Another supposedly easy game for the Eels and another very disappointing score for Sivo. Another Eel who has become unplayable with a three round average of 29.3 and a favourable draw in his rear vision mirror. Brisbane are only middle of the road in giving up points to left wingers, so he’s not a matchup play. If only massive (legal) hits on opposing players were worth Supercoach points, Sivo would have been captain worthy last week.

Nathan Cleary ($609,800 HFB – 37, AVG: 62.8, BE 124)

Cleary has 8 try assists for the season, and two of them came against the Sharks in Round 21 when he scored 134. That eight places him equal 31st in the NRL, alongside Kenny Bromwich, Latrell Mitchell, Brodie Croft and even Matt Moylan, who has played eight fewer games than Cleary. The Roosters have also given up the third fewest points over the past five rounds to halfbacks. If you think he can buck that trend against a surging Roosters team at the SGC this season then you could start him but he’s probably better off sitting.

Hold

Ken Maumalo ($528,900 CTW – 19, AVG: 61.5, BE 132)

Maumalo put up his worst score of the season by a long shot on the weekend, his second sub 40 score in a row. The Warriors were towelled up in both games, with little opportunity for even base stats with all the time spent sitting behind your own goal posts. With a game against the struggling Bunnies at home he could get back on track, but it would take a confident coach to continue starting him as Souths give up the fourth fewest points to left wingers over previous five rounds. If you’re going to sit him, then the Warriors final game of the season is the time to do it, with the Raiders incredibly stingy with points conceded to outside backs.

Martin Taupau ($526,200 2RF|FRF – 54, AVG: 62.6, BE 75)

His last three games haven’t been anything to write home about, with an average of 56.3. Yet that mid to high 50s average and dual position status makes him perfect bench reserve. You probably won’t play him this week against Melbourne, but he could be worth considering with a final game against the Eels.

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Living on the edge
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Living on the edge

Crazily enough that 120 against the Eels came in only 30 minutes for Pap! The guy’s a machine.

Mighty tigs
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Mighty tigs

Yep however he did have 1 more 80 min game vs the tigs for 87

trenticus
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trenticus

would you be considering Luke Brooks as a buy this week with Moses, DCE & Cleary all shitting the bed last week, Brooks managed to get 90 albeit in a side that got 40. However Tigers do have the easiest game this week as they verse Dragons & I can’t imagine DCE or Cleary scoring well this week against their opponents of Storm & Roosters so Brooks seems like a tempting choice. Also I’m concerned about Wade Graham, was the consecutive scores in the 90’s a fluke or was his score of 18 last week a fluke. Do you risk… Read more »

AJW
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AJW

Hey Carlos – you’re gonna laugh. Last trade made last week – Lolo to Kenny B! Was going to trade out Jazz for him, but I kind of read your thoughts (too briefly I add – no responsability on your part – was merely a brain snap like Jimmy the Jet’s!) & decided that Lolo was destined to doom…but in reality it was me!!!! smile

zachwhich
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zachwhich

Punting Gutho for someone or bring in JAC

TU: Gutho > Fergo
TD: Nikora > JAC