BBL Round 11 Preview & Chat

Round 11 of the BBL shapes as the biggest of the season with three teams, the Heat, Hurricanes and Strikers playing twice, with no shortage of big-name players on the offering. While Round 10 belonged well and truly to one Marcus Stoinis and his incredible 376 points, he and his Stars will have a well-earned rest this week. This locks in a great opportunity for SuperCoaches to trade in the likes of Stoinis this round to go on a massive shopping spree. It all begins this afternoon so let’s get cracking!

 

Games

Tuesday: Hurricanes v Heat @ Blundstone Arena

Tuesday: Sixers v Strikers @ SCG

Wednesday: Renegades v Thunder @ Marvel Stadium

Thursday: Hurricanes v Strikers @ UTAS Stadium (Launceston)

Friday: Heat v Scorchers @ Gabba

Bye: Stars

 

DGW Analysis

The Hurricanes will play two games in Tasmania this round, with the opening game of the round at their much-loved home in Hobart against Brisbane. They’ll back up two days later against the travelling Strikers who have a tricky round ahead with today’s game against the in-form Sixers also away at the SCG. The Heat close out this massive round with a bottom-of-the-table clash at the Gabba against the Scorchers and will be a huge chance to break a 7-game winless run at home.

 

Game Previews

With the DGW in Round 11 – James Faulkner looms as a must have.

Hurricanes v Heat

Matt Wade (WKP/BAT – $172,800) continued his great BBL form with 85 points from another half century, his second in a row and 4th for the season. Along with D’Arcy Short (BAT/BWL – $264,400) the short boundaries at Hobart to kick off their round will make these two must-haves for your sides this week. The Hurricanes bowlers will be out for redemption after being dismantled by Phillippe and Vince in the Sixers’ stunning win last week, where Hobart could take only the one wicket as Sydney chased down 170 with ease. While most teams already have Wade and Short in their lineups, the likes of James Faulkner (BAT/BWL – $169,900), Jofra Archer (BAT/BWL – $123,600) and Riley Meredith (BWL – $175,500) are sure to come into calculations this week with two home games to come and all good chances of grabbing a few scalps. Faulkner might be the safest play here with his 4 scores above 90 for the season and handy middle order batting should it be required. Archer has never really gotten going this year with a top round score of 114 compared to Faulkner’s 142 and Meredith’s ridiculous 216 from a few weeks ago. Meredith copped a pasting last week and his confidence could have taken a denting. All are genuine options this week though given the games they play and there are plenty of valid reasons to go with any. If I had to rank them in order of priority it would be (1) Faulkner (2) Meredith (3) Archer.

The Heat’s batting lineup has been brittle in their last three games with scores of 2/10, 10/98 and 8/129, coinciding with a lean run of form for captain Chris Lynn (BAT – $118,400) who has SuperCoach scores of just 5, 12 and 0 to his name since round 8. It means he comes in at a handily-low price this week and with games at the batsman’s paradise of Hobart and a home game against the insipid Scorchers this round, can’t be far away from turning it around. On the bowling front for Brisbane, It would take a brave man to back the likes of Josh Lalor (BWL – $181,200), Brendon Doggett (BWL – $138,800) and Mitchell Swepson (BWL – $91,300) as bowling options this game against batsmen the calibre of Short, Wade and McDermott. But if you’re prepared to risk a low score first up, you may just back yourself in for a handy POD in that last game of the round at the Gabba. Ben Cutting (BAT/BWL – $141,800) cracked 100 points for just the second time this season, but many will be wary of falling into the trap of his standard 40-50ish points range.

POD: Ben McDermott (WKP/BAT – $100,100) finished with a late flurry last round to knock out 41 runs on his way to 55 SuperCoach points. He’s had to play a similar role all year, with the Hurricanes flying starts meaning that time in the middle has been somewhat hard to come by. However, he now has 5 scores between 55 and 70 for the year from his 10 games and with 8 catches to his name this season, can pick up some handy points in the field. He comes at a good price this week to hopefully make some cash with a big round here.

Tip: Hurricanes

 

Sixers v Strikers

The Strikers are in the middle of a shocking run of form which has seen them bowled out twice and being beaten by 10 wickets at home in their last three starts. Colin Ingram’s (BAT – $172,500)’s Round 9 SuperCoach score of 110 was their only score about 90 in this time. With two tough games coming up this week, it makes their trading prospects look a little dim. Rashid Khan (BWL – $183,500) has had scores of 40 and 7 in his last two games but we all know what he can do so no need for owners to hit the panic button there. Outside of him, their bowling stocks look pretty rudderless with Liam O’Connor (BWL – $84,500) falling flat these past few rounds after I expected him to play well on wickets that suited him. Alex Carey (WKP/BAT – $124,100) is another player of interest but he has 5 SuperCoach scores below 50 from his past 6 games and just isn’t screaming out ‘pick me’ at all. Jake Lehmann (BAT – $50,500) finally got a go at the top of the order last week and played a lone hand for Adelaide. Expect him to get another go there but his lack of pedigree in this game makes him a very risky buy at this stage of the season.

For the Sixers, Josh Philippe (WKP/BAT – $114,100) showed he was a star of the future, if not the present, with a match winning knock of 86 from just 49 deliveries last round and will look to back it up at the same venue this week. Again, the Sixers are unlikely to be in many SuperCoaches plans for the rest of the season with the lack of DGWs hurting them, but there’s no doubting they’re a team in form so you could do worse than hang onto any you still have.

POD: With your 3 trades this week likely to be taken up by Hurricanes and maybe a Heat player, it leaves little room for drafting in an out-of-form Striker. Colin Ingram had 265 points from his last 3 games heading into last round before a disappointing 6, but looks the most dangerous of the Strikers batsmen. He will have a much lower ownership percentage than the gun Hobart and Brisbane players we’ve mentioned above so anyone desperately hunting a POD this round could do worse than giving him a run.

Tip: Sixers

Dan Christian went BANG with 158 points in Round 10

Renegades v Thunder

Like the Sixers, the Renegades are proving frustrating for SuperCoaches with players that are killing it like Dan Christian (BAT/BWL – $158,500), Kane Richardson (BWL – $209,800) and Cameron Boyce (BWL – $135,200) continuing to play well after their allotment of DGWs have now ended. They utterly destroyed the Scorchers with ball in hand at Perth last round and anyone who was lucky enough to have hung onto them in Round 10 and played them in your side were rewarded in a big way.

The Thunder somehow got over the line against the Scorchers thanks to one of the best innings in BBL history from Callum Ferguson (BAT – $127,000). There won’t be too many still running with Thunder players in their side but the most relevant, Shane Watson (BAT/BWL – $166,100) and Daniel Sams (BAT/BWL – $147,100) have put a couple of low scores together recently and should be trade out options this week before they lose too much further value. Sams especially will still be feeling the effects of a Shaun Marsh drive directly into his shin-bone that saw him leave the field. Ouch!

POD: N/A

Tip: Renegades

 

Hurricanes v Strikers

Both teams suit up for their second game this round, this time at Launceston where just the one game has been played this season. That match saw the Hurricanes restrict the Scorchers to 8-107 before comfortably chasing that total down with 3 overs and 6 wickets to spare. D’Arcy Short picked up 2 wickets on a slow pitch that game and will be a great captain pick this week if he can get another few overs in. Hobart ripped through the Scorchers top order that match, reducing them to 4-19 and that early form should pique your interest in James Faulkner who will open the bowling again here. The Strikers as we mentioned above are in a definite hole so it will be tough to back their batsmen in to make big scores this round. I expect a go-slow approach here to avoid the embarrassment of being bowled out yet again, which makes it tough for the usual suspects like Carey, Ingram, Weatherald and Matt Short to go large against a Hurricanes attack that can be very stingy. One for the bowlers I suspect this game will be.

POD: If you like a left-field option, then Clive Rose (BWL – $78,600) could interest you on a slow wicket against a frustrated Strikers outfit that will attempt to hit out late. The immediate retirement of Johan Botha means that Rose’s stocks rise as a spinning option in this side. There could be some very cheap wickets on offer if they can find their way into the middle of the Strikers’ lineup and the pressure of fighting for their season becomes too much. Perfect for a guy like Rose who they’ll have identified as a guy they can target. He has the ability of pulling a big score out of nowhere (and then doing nothing for a month). One for POD-lovers to ponder.

Tip: Hurricanes

 

Heat v Scorchers

The final match of the round will likely be the wooden spoon playoff between two hugely disappointing teams. This is exactly the type of game where players can go ballistic, so it means a great chance for popular SuperCoach players Chris Lynn and Brendon McCullum (BAT – $124,400) to find some form. It makes it tough to back in someone like Ben Cutting this week who bats so far down the order, despite the Heat’s recent poor form meaning that all 11 players have been required to pad up at stages. The Scorchers have plenty of world-class bowling options but their last two games (and their overall season) has likely sapped them of any confidence and make them ripe for the picking here. On the bowling front for the Heat, some early inroads from pacemen Josh Lalor and Brendon Doggett could also bring the SuperCoach floodgates open, and the Scorchers’ penchant for holing out in the deep so often mean that Mujeeb and Swepson could buy plenty of wickets in this one if given the chance.

For the Scorchers, what could have been some massive scores last round for their DGW were shot down in flames with a limp-wristed collapse against the Renegades. Shaun Marsh (BAT – $122,600) had plenty of luck on his way to 150 points against the Thunder before a duck egg courtesy of a chop-on in the second game. AJ Tye (BWL – $191,900), Jason Behrendorff (BWL – $137,100) and Nathan Coulter-Nile (BAT/BWL – $147,400) also didn’t go as large as we had hoped, but are also probably holds based purely on their history in this game and their potential for big scores. Not to mention that selling your Stars players is almost a given with their bye this week and the cash on offer.

POD: Like Clive Rose above, I like the idea that spinner Mitchell Swepson could be a big target for the opposition batsmen this week which means he’s a strong chance of nabbing a couple of wickets at a great price tag.

Tip: Heat

 

Buys of the Week

(Assuming most already have Short, Wade, Khan and Lynn!)

  • James Faulkner (Hurricanes)
  • Ben McDermott (Hurricanes)
  • Clive Rose (Hurricanes)
  • Colin Ingram (Strikers)
  • Josh Lalor (Heat)
  • Mitchell Swepson (Heat)

Buys of Next Week:

For just the second time all year, Round 12 will see all 8 teams play and no DGW for anyone. With a Round 12 game against the Scorchers followed by a Round 13 DGW for the Stars to close out the regular season, there’ll be a mad rush to bring these guys back into your squads

 

Justin

North Queenslander born and bred, Justin is also very much a Cowboys tragic. Rumours have it that his first born son will be named Thurston.

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Souffs
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Will Siddle play both games?

WeninRome
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Surely Cutting and Carey ahead of Lynn given recent form @justin ?

WeninRome
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Great write-up again bro!

Alex
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Awesome write up once again. Only non-double gameweek player is one of NCN, Tye or Marsh, who do you choose?

Battler
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I’ve gone Bravo, Tye, and Bird to Carey, Khan, and Lalor. Holding Stoinis, and my only non-DGW player is Richo.

Was actually a bit shocked that more people aren’t on Lalor, he has a negative BE at 180k and bowls at the death. Pretty much guaranteed to get 4 overs in as well given the state of Brisbane’s bowling. I wasn’t on him myself until this article (was looking at Siddle), thanks for the write up.

Sxirxi2
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How does Lalor go from having a negative BE, scoring 98 and losing 13.5k ?

OnTheBus
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Any chance they add the Hobart kid that just signed after Botha retired ??